Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 20:00 • Victor Tedesco Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.17) 2.13 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.3% 20.7% 54.7%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.6%
1 - 1
9.0%
0 - 2
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Naxxar Lions
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mosta 0 3.3% 7.0% 7.5% 5.3% 2.8% 1.2%
1 4.2% 9.0% 9.6% 6.8% 3.6% 1.5%
2 2.7% 5.8% 6.1% 4.4% 2.3% 1.0%
3 1.2% 2.5% 2.6% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMostaNaxxar Lions
Played55
Form7%27%
Attack29%29%
Defense29%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mosta Naxxar Lions
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins0%20%11%0%25%11%
Draws50%0%22%20%25%22%
Loses50%80%67%80%50%67%

Form: Mosta: LWLDLLLLD • Naxxar Lions: LLDLLLWLD

League goals

Metric Mosta Naxxar Lions
HATHAT
GF total639459
GF avg1.50.61.00.81.31.0
GA total811199413
GA avg2.02.22.11.81.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMostaNaxxar Lions
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%89%56%89%
1.522%67%22%33%
2.511%33%11%22%
3.50%22%11%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMostaNaxxar Lions
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score123224

Penalties

MetricMostaNaxxar Lions
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricMostaNaxxar Lions
Wins11
Draws11
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-1—0-4
Biggest losses3-44-11-32-0
Goals For3124
Goals Against4432

Model comparison

MetricMostaNaxxar Lions
Form20%80%
Att50%50%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution38%63%
H2h62%38%
Goals60%40%
Total43.2%57.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Naxxar Lions

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.91 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away2.45 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ 188Bet
No2.02 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mosta = 1.28 (league 1.17), Naxxar Lions = 2.13 (league 1.22)

Naxxar Lions
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mosta 0 3.3% 7.0% 7.5% 5.3% 2.8% 1.2%
1 4.2% 9.0% 9.6% 6.8% 3.6% 1.5%
2 2.7% 5.8% 6.1% 4.4% 2.3% 1.0%
3 1.2% 2.5% 2.6% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.3% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 54.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1