Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 18:00 • Tony Bezzina Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.78 (league 1.24) 1.68 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.8% 22.4% 36.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.4%
2 - 1
8.4%
1 - 2
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Marsaxlokk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hibernians 0 3.1% 5.3% 4.4% 2.5% 1.0% 0.4%
1 5.6% 9.4% 7.9% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6%
2 5.0% 8.4% 7.0% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6%
3 2.9% 5.0% 4.2% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.3% 2.2% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHiberniansMarsaxlokk
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack29%24%
Defense53%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hibernians Marsaxlokk
HATHAT
Played55106410
Wins60%20%40%50%50%50%
Draws0%40%20%17%25%20%
Loses40%40%40%33%25%30%

Form: Hibernians: WDWDWWLLLL • Marsaxlokk: WWLWLLDWDW

League goals

Metric Hibernians Marsaxlokk
HATHAT
GF total117187512
GF avg2.21.41.81.21.31.2
GA total8816549
GA avg1.61.61.60.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHiberniansMarsaxlokk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%90%80%50%
1.570%50%30%30%
2.520%20%10%10%
3.510%0%0%0%
4.510%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHiberniansMarsaxlokk
HATHAT
Clean sheets101325
Failed to score123202

Penalties

MetricHiberniansMarsaxlokk
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricHiberniansMarsaxlokk
Wins22
Draws11
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-31-33-10-2
Biggest losses2-32-00-23-1
Goals For5332
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricHiberniansMarsaxlokk
Form27%73%
Att56%44%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h15%85%
Goals27%73%
Total33.8%66.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Marsaxlokk

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.90 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.44 @ Pinnacle
Away1.95 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hibernians = 1.78 (league 1.24), Marsaxlokk = 1.68 (league 1.24)

Marsaxlokk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hibernians 0 3.1% 5.3% 4.4% 2.5% 1.0% 0.4%
1 5.6% 9.4% 7.9% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6%
2 5.0% 8.4% 7.0% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6%
3 2.9% 5.0% 4.2% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.3% 2.2% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.8% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 36.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1