Mon, Nov 3 2025 • 17:00 • MFA Centenary Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.43 (league 1.23) 0.80 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.5% 9.2% 5.0%
best score tips
3 - 0
9.8%
2 - 0
8.6%
4 - 0
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Naxxar Lions
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gzira United 0 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.0% 4.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.6% 6.9% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.8% 7.8% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 8.4% 6.7% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
5 5.7% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGzira UnitedNaxxar Lions
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack62%38%
Defense31%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gzira United Naxxar Lions
HATHAT
Played19105510
Wins100%11%20%0%20%10%
Draws0%44%40%20%20%20%
Loses0%44%40%80%60%70%

Form: Gzira United: LDDLDLLWWD • Naxxar Lions: LLDLLLWLDL

League goals

Metric Gzira United Naxxar Lions
HATHAT
GF total3912459
GF avg3.01.01.20.81.00.9
GA total116179716
GA avg1.01.81.71.81.41.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGzira UnitedNaxxar Lions
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%80%50%90%
1.530%50%20%40%
2.530%20%10%30%
3.510%10%10%0%
4.50%10%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGzira UnitedNaxxar Lions
HATHAT
Clean sheets022011
Failed to score055235

Penalties

MetricGzira UnitedNaxxar Lions
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricGzira UnitedNaxxar Lions
Wins21
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-13-4—0-4
Biggest losses—5-31-33-0
Goals For3424
Goals Against1533

Model comparison

MetricGzira UnitedNaxxar Lions
Form64%36%
Att62%38%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h62%38%
Goals55%45%
Total60.7%39.3%

Advice: Winner : Gzira United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Away3.31 @ 1xBet
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Home2.03 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.73 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Marathonbet
No1.89 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gzira United = 3.43 (league 1.23), Naxxar Lions = 0.80 (league 1.25)

Naxxar Lions
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gzira United 0 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.0% 4.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.6% 6.9% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.8% 7.8% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 8.4% 6.7% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
5 5.7% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.5% · Draw 9.2% · Away win 5.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1