Premier League
— Malta
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 16:00 •
MFA Centenary Stadium
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.16)
1.51 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.7% | 25.0% | 41.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
0 - 1
9.0%
1 - 2
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Gzira United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Naxxar Lions | 0 | 5.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Naxxar Lions | Gzira United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 47% |
| Attack | 45% | 64% |
| Defense | 55% | 27% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Naxxar Lions | Gzira United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 9 |
| Wins | 0% | 25% | 11% | 100% | 13% | 22% |
| Draws | 20% | 25% | 22% | 0% | 38% | 33% |
| Loses | 80% | 50% | 67% | 0% | 50% | 44% |
Form: Naxxar Lions: LLDLLLWLD • Gzira United: LDDLDLLWW
League goals
| Metric | Naxxar Lions | Gzira United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 11 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 9 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 15 | 16 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Naxxar Lions | Gzira United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 89% | 44% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 33% | 33% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 22% | 33% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 0% | 11% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Naxxar Lions | Gzira United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Naxxar Lions | Gzira United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Naxxar Lions | Gzira United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-4 | 3-1 | 3-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | — | 5-3 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Naxxar Lions | Gzira United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 44.3% | 55.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Gzira United
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Naxxar Lions = 1.31 (league 1.16), Gzira United = 1.51 (league 1.19)
| Gzira United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Naxxar Lions | 0 | 5.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.7% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 41.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1