Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 17:15 • Tony Cassar Sports Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.17) 0.98 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.7% 29.8% 31.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.7%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Mosta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tarxien Rainbows 0 12.1% 11.9% 5.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.7% 13.4% 6.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.7% 7.6% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.9% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTarxien RainbowsMosta
Played55
Form0%27%
Attack20%53%
Defense7%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tarxien Rainbows Mosta
HATHAT
Played73105510
Wins0%33%10%20%20%20%
Draws29%0%20%40%0%20%
Loses71%67%70%40%80%60%

Form: Tarxien Rainbows: DLLWDLLLLL • Mosta: LWLDLLLLDW

League goals

Metric Tarxien Rainbows Mosta
HATHAT
GF total4489312
GF avg0.61.30.81.80.61.2
GA total1462081119
GA avg2.02.02.01.62.21.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTarxien RainbowsMosta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%100%70%80%
1.510%60%30%60%
2.510%30%20%30%
3.50%10%0%20%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTarxien RainbowsMosta
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score314123

Penalties

MetricTarxien RainbowsMosta
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricTarxien RainbowsMosta
Wins11
Draws11
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—2-33-00-1
Biggest losses0-43-13-44-1
Goals For1331
Goals Against4344

Model comparison

MetricTarxien RainbowsMosta
Form0%100%
Att27%73%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h15%85%
Goals25%75%
Total32.0%68.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Mosta

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.88 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.38 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tarxien Rainbows = 1.13 (league 1.17), Mosta = 0.98 (league 1.22)

Mosta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tarxien Rainbows 0 12.1% 11.9% 5.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.7% 13.4% 6.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.7% 7.6% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.9% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.7% · Draw 29.8% · Away win 31.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1