Wed, Oct 1 2025 • 18:00 • Stade Jos Haupert
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.37 (league 1.61) 0.52 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.2% 49.2% 30.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
40.8%
0 - 1
21.4%
1 - 0
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
US Hostert
0 1 2 3 4 5
Progres Niederkorn 0 40.8% 21.4% 5.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.2% 8.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricProgres NiederkornUS Hostert
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack71%36%
Defense50%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Progres Niederkorn US Hostert
HATHAT
Played347527
Wins33%75%57%20%50%29%
Draws0%0%0%20%0%14%
Loses67%25%43%60%50%57%

Form: Progres Niederkorn: LWWLWLW • US Hostert: LDWWLLL

League goals

Metric Progres Niederkorn US Hostert
HATHAT
GF total11314426
GF avg0.33.32.00.81.00.9
GA total29119413
GA avg0.72.31.61.82.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineProgres NiederkornUS Hostert
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%86%57%71%
1.557%29%29%43%
2.543%29%0%43%
3.529%14%0%29%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricProgres NiederkornUS Hostert
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score202213

Penalties

MetricProgres NiederkornUS Hostert
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricProgres NiederkornUS Hostert
Wins22
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-42-10-2
Biggest losses0-14-31-44-0
Goals For1422
Goals Against1444

Model comparison

MetricProgres NiederkornUS Hostert
Form60%40%
Att67%33%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h80%20%
Goals80%20%
Total65.0%35.0%

Advice: Double chance : Progres Niederkorn or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.31 @ Superbet
Draw5.50 @ Unibet
Away8.80 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.85 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Progres Niederkorn = 0.37 (league 1.61), US Hostert = 0.52 (league 1.34)

US Hostert
0 1 2 3 4 5
Progres Niederkorn 0 40.8% 21.4% 5.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.2% 8.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.2% · Draw 49.2% · Away win 30.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1