Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 14:00 • Stade Alphonse Theis
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.60) 1.77 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.2% 23.3% 47.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
1 - 2
9.4%
0 - 1
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Jeunesse Canach
0 1 2 3 4 5
Swift Hesperange 0 4.6% 8.1% 7.2% 4.3% 1.9% 0.7%
1 6.0% 10.7% 9.4% 5.6% 2.5% 0.9%
2 3.9% 7.0% 6.2% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6%
3 1.7% 3.0% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSwift HesperangeJeunesse Canach
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack42%26%
Defense63%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Swift Hesperange Jeunesse Canach
HATHAT
Played527448
Wins40%100%57%50%50%50%
Draws20%0%14%0%0%0%
Loses40%0%29%50%50%50%

Form: Swift Hesperange: DWLWLWW • Jeunesse Canach: LWLLLWWW

League goals

Metric Swift Hesperange Jeunesse Canach
HATHAT
GF total75125611
GF avg1.42.51.71.31.51.4
GA total8195611
GA avg1.60.51.31.31.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSwift HesperangeJeunesse Canach
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%57%100%63%
1.543%43%25%50%
2.529%14%13%25%
3.514%14%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSwift HesperangeJeunesse Canach
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricSwift HesperangeJeunesse Canach
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricSwift HesperangeJeunesse Canach
Wins11
Draws10
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-31-01-3
Biggest losses1-4—2-33-1
Goals For4323
Goals Against4133

Model comparison

MetricSwift HesperangeJeunesse Canach
Form50%50%
Att62%38%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total41.5%58.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Jeunesse Canach

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.88 @ Pinnacle
Away3.90 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.20 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ Pinnacle
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Swift Hesperange = 1.31 (league 1.60), Jeunesse Canach = 1.77 (league 1.36)

Jeunesse Canach
0 1 2 3 4 5
Swift Hesperange 0 4.6% 8.1% 7.2% 4.3% 1.9% 0.7%
1 6.0% 10.7% 9.4% 5.6% 2.5% 0.9%
2 3.9% 7.0% 6.2% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6%
3 1.7% 3.0% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.2% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 47.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1