Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 16:00 • Stade Jos Haupert
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.61) 0.60 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.9% 41.1% 28.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
28.8%
1 - 0
18.6%
0 - 1
17.3%
Score & goals probability table
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Progres Niederkorn 0 28.8% 17.3% 5.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.6% 11.1% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.0% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricProgres NiederkornRacing FC Union Luxembourg
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack75%33%
Defense42%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Progres Niederkorn Racing FC Union Luxembourg
HATHAT
Played5510538
Wins40%80%60%20%0%13%
Draws20%0%10%20%67%38%
Loses40%20%30%60%33%50%

Form: Progres Niederkorn: LWWLWLWWDW • Racing FC Union Luxembourg: DLDDLWLL

League goals

Metric Progres Niederkorn Racing FC Union Luxembourg
HATHAT
GF total41519437
GF avg0.83.01.90.81.00.9
GA total410148412
GA avg0.82.01.41.61.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineProgres NiederkornRacing FC Union Luxembourg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%90%88%88%
1.560%20%0%50%
2.530%20%0%13%
3.520%10%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricProgres NiederkornRacing FC Union Luxembourg
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score202101

Penalties

MetricProgres NiederkornRacing FC Union Luxembourg
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricProgres NiederkornRacing FC Union Luxembourg
Wins21
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-41-0—
Biggest losses0-14-31-32-1
Goals For2411
Goals Against1432

Model comparison

MetricProgres NiederkornRacing FC Union Luxembourg
Form71%29%
Att69%31%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h85%15%
Goals61%39%
Total64.5%35.5%

Advice: Double chance : Progres Niederkorn or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Progres Niederkorn = 0.65 (league 1.61), Racing FC Union Luxembourg = 0.60 (league 1.34)

Racing FC Union Luxembourg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Progres Niederkorn 0 28.8% 17.3% 5.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.6% 11.1% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.0% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.9% · Draw 41.1% · Away win 28.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1