Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 16:30 •
Stade Jos Haupert
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.53)
1.24 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 44.2% | 24.9% | 30.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
1 - 0
9.4%
2 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Mamer | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Progres Niederkorn | 0 | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.4% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Progres Niederkorn | Mamer |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 40% |
| Attack | 100% | 38% |
| Defense | 25% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Progres Niederkorn | Mamer | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 27% | 42% | 35% | 17% | 45% | 30% |
| Draws | 27% | 17% | 22% | 8% | 0% | 4% |
| Loses | 45% | 42% | 43% | 75% | 55% | 65% |
Form: Progres Niederkorn: LWWLWLWWDWLDDLLLDLWLWDL • Mamer: WWLLLLDLLLLLLWLLWWLWLWL
League goals
| Metric | Progres Niederkorn | Mamer | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 22 | 33 | 9 | 15 | 24 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 13 | 19 | 32 | 22 | 26 | 48 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Progres Niederkorn | Mamer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 87% | 70% | 87% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 35% | 26% | 61% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 13% | 9% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 4% | 0% | 22% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Progres Niederkorn | Mamer | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Progres Niederkorn | Mamer |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 8 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 8 |
Streaks
| Metric | Progres Niederkorn | Mamer |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-5 | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Progres Niederkorn | Mamer |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 55.0% | 45.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Progres Niederkorn or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Progres Niederkorn = 1.56 (league 1.53), Mamer = 1.24 (league 1.35)
| Mamer | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Progres Niederkorn | 0 | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.4% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.2% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 30.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1