Stars League — Qatar
Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 17:00 • Al Thumama Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
6.08 (league 1.64) 3.45 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.2% 7.3% 7.8%
best score tips
5 - 3
3.4%
5 - 2
3.0%
5 - 4
3.0%
Score & goals probability table
Al-Rayyan SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Ahli Doha 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
2 0.1% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5%
3 0.3% 0.9% 1.6% 1.9% 1.6% 1.1%
4 0.4% 1.4% 2.5% 2.8% 2.4% 1.7%
5 0.5% 1.7% 3.0% 3.4% 3.0% 2.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl Ahli DohaAl-Rayyan SC
Played44
Form25%58%
Attack25%35%
Defense55%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.37 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 2.36 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

64%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al Ahli Doha Al-Rayyan SC
HATHAT
Played224314
Wins50%0%25%67%0%50%
Draws0%0%0%33%0%25%
Loses50%100%75%0%100%25%

Form: Al Ahli Doha: LLLW • Al-Rayyan SC: WLWD

League goals

Metric Al Ahli Doha Al-Rayyan SC
HATHAT
GF total505527
GF avg2.50.01.31.72.01.8
GA total549246
GA avg2.52.02.30.74.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl Ahli DohaAl-Rayyan SC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.525%100%100%75%
1.525%100%50%25%
2.525%25%25%25%
3.525%0%0%25%
4.525%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl Ahli DohaAl-Rayyan SC
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score123000

Penalties

MetricAl Ahli DohaAl-Rayyan SC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAl Ahli DohaAl-Rayyan SC
Wins01
Draws00
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-3—3-1—
Biggest losses0-22-0—4-2
Goals For5032
Goals Against3214

Model comparison

MetricAl Ahli DohaAl-Rayyan SC
Form30%70%
Att42%58%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h50%50%
Goals39%61%
Total43.3%56.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Al-Rayyan SC and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.41 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.30 @ Pinnacle
Away1.62 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.58 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.43 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ Unibet
No2.28 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al Ahli Doha = 6.08 (league 1.64), Al-Rayyan SC = 3.45 (league 1.45)

Al-Rayyan SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Ahli Doha 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
2 0.1% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5%
3 0.3% 0.9% 1.6% 1.9% 1.6% 1.1%
4 0.4% 1.4% 2.5% 2.8% 2.4% 1.7%
5 0.5% 1.7% 3.0% 3.4% 3.0% 2.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.2% · Draw 7.3% · Away win 7.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1