Stars League — Qatar
Fri, Nov 7 2025 • 16:30 • Thani Bin Jassim Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.21 (league 1.65) 0.84 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.9% 18.6% 12.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.5%
1 - 0
10.4%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Qatar SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Gharafa 0 4.7% 4.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.4% 8.8% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.5% 9.7% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.5% 7.2% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.7% 4.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl-GharafaQatar SC
Played55
Form87%53%
Attack65%29%
Defense76%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al-Gharafa Qatar SC
HATHAT
Played448538
Wins100%50%75%80%33%63%
Draws0%25%13%20%33%25%
Loses0%25%13%0%33%13%

Form: Al-Gharafa: WWLWDWWW • Qatar SC: WWWDWDWL

League goals

Metric Al-Gharafa Qatar SC
HATHAT
GF total116178412
GF avg2.81.52.11.61.31.5
GA total459246
GA avg1.01.31.10.41.30.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl-GharafaQatar SC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%88%63%
1.575%38%50%13%
2.550%0%13%0%
3.513%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl-GharafaQatar SC
HATHAT
Clean sheets112303
Failed to score022011

Penalties

MetricAl-GharafaQatar SC
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricAl-GharafaQatar SC
Wins23
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-32-02-3
Biggest losses—2-0—1-0
Goals For4323
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricAl-GharafaQatar SC
Form62%38%
Att69%31%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h85%15%
Goals60%40%
Total65.8%34.2%

Advice: Winner : Al-Gharafa

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ 188Bet
Draw4.20 @ Betfair
Away5.18 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.62 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Pinnacle
No2.43 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al-Gharafa = 2.21 (league 1.65), Qatar SC = 0.84 (league 1.54)

Qatar SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Gharafa 0 4.7% 4.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.4% 8.8% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.5% 9.7% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.5% 7.2% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.7% 4.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.9% · Draw 18.6% · Away win 12.9%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1