Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 14:30 •
Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.65)
1.89 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.9% | 22.4% | 49.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
1 - 2
9.5%
0 - 1
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Al-Gharafa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Ahli Doha | 0 | 4.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 5.3% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Al Ahli Doha | Al-Gharafa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 67% |
| Attack | 50% | 50% |
| Defense | 21% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Al Ahli Doha | Al-Gharafa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 33% | 33% | 100% | 33% | 67% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Loses | 67% | 67% | 67% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
Form: Al Ahli Doha: LLLWLW • Al-Gharafa: WWLWDW
League goals
| Metric | Al Ahli Doha | Al-Gharafa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 8 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GA avg | 2.7 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Al Ahli Doha | Al-Gharafa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 100% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 83% | 67% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 33% | 33% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Al Ahli Doha | Al-Gharafa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Al Ahli Doha | Al-Gharafa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Al Ahli Doha | Al-Gharafa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-3 | 1-2 | 4-2 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 2-0 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Al Ahli Doha | Al-Gharafa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 31% | 69% |
| Poisson Distribution | 39% | 61% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 39% | 61% |
| Total | 39.5% | 60.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Al-Gharafa
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Al Ahli Doha = 1.34 (league 1.65), Al-Gharafa = 1.89 (league 1.43)
| Al-Gharafa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Ahli Doha | 0 | 4.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 5.3% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.9% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 49.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1