Stars League — Qatar
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 14:30 • Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.65) 1.75 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.2% 23.3% 46.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.6%
1 - 2
9.3%
0 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Al-Gharafa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Ahli Doha 0 4.5% 7.9% 7.0% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
1 6.1% 10.6% 9.3% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8%
2 4.1% 7.1% 6.3% 3.7% 1.6% 0.6%
3 1.8% 3.2% 2.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.6% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl Ahli DohaAl-Gharafa
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack50%50%
Defense21%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al Ahli Doha Al-Gharafa
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%33%33%100%33%67%
Draws0%0%0%0%33%17%
Loses67%67%67%0%33%17%

Form: Al Ahli Doha: LLLWLW • Al-Gharafa: WWLWDW

League goals

Metric Al Ahli Doha Al-Gharafa
HATHAT
GF total5278311
GF avg1.70.71.22.71.01.8
GA total8513347
GA avg2.71.72.21.01.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl Ahli DohaAl-Gharafa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.533%100%67%67%
1.533%83%67%50%
2.517%33%33%0%
3.517%0%17%0%
4.517%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl Ahli DohaAl-Gharafa
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score224022

Penalties

MetricAl Ahli DohaAl-Gharafa
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricAl Ahli DohaAl-Gharafa
Wins12
Draws01
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-31-24-22-3
Biggest losses0-32-0—2-0
Goals For5243
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricAl Ahli DohaAl-Gharafa
Form38%63%
Att50%50%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h40%60%
Goals39%61%
Total39.5%60.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Al-Gharafa

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.32 @ 1xBet
Draw4.11 @ Pinnacle
Away2.01 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ Pinnacle
No2.65 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.48 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al Ahli Doha = 1.34 (league 1.65), Al-Gharafa = 1.75 (league 1.54)

Al-Gharafa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Ahli Doha 0 4.5% 7.9% 7.0% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
1 6.1% 10.6% 9.3% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8%
2 4.1% 7.1% 6.3% 3.7% 1.6% 0.6%
3 1.8% 3.2% 2.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.6% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.2% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 46.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1