Stars League
— Qatar
Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 16:30 •
Thani bin Jassim Stadium
Expected Goals
2.84 (league 1.65)
1.17 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.1% | 15.1% | 12.8% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.6%
3 - 1
8.1%
2 - 0
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Al Wakrah | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al-Gharafa | 0 | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.3% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.9% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Al-Gharafa | Al Wakrah |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 53% |
| Attack | 44% | 32% |
| Defense | 80% | 68% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Al-Gharafa | Al Wakrah | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 78% | 67% | 33% | 44% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 11% | 0% | 50% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 11% | 33% | 17% | 22% |
Form: Al-Gharafa: WWLWDWWWW • Al Wakrah: DWWLDWLWD
League goals
| Metric | Al-Gharafa | Al Wakrah | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 6 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 15 |
| GF avg | 2.6 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 15 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Al-Gharafa | Al Wakrah | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 78% | 89% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 78% | 33% | 56% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 44% | 0% | 22% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Al-Gharafa | Al Wakrah | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Al-Gharafa | Al Wakrah |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Al-Gharafa | Al Wakrah |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 1-3 | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 0-2 | 5-3 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Al-Gharafa | Al Wakrah |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 70% | 30% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 61.2% | 38.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Al-Gharafa or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Al-Gharafa = 2.84 (league 1.65), Al Wakrah = 1.17 (league 1.54)
| Al Wakrah | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al-Gharafa | 0 | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.3% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.9% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.1% · Draw 15.1% · Away win 12.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1