Stars League — Qatar
Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 16:30 • Thani bin Jassim Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.81 (league 1.67) 1.16 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.1% 15.3% 12.9%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.7%
3 - 1
8.1%
2 - 0
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Al Wakrah
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Gharafa 0 1.9% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.3% 6.2% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.5% 8.7% 5.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 7.0% 8.1% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 4.9% 5.7% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 2.8% 3.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl-GharafaAl Wakrah
Played55
Form87%53%
Attack44%32%
Defense80%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al-Gharafa Al Wakrah
HATHAT
Played549369
Wins100%50%78%67%33%44%
Draws0%25%11%0%50%33%
Loses0%25%11%33%17%22%

Form: Al-Gharafa: WWLWDWWWW • Al Wakrah: DWWLDWLWD

League goals

Metric Al-Gharafa Al Wakrah
HATHAT
GF total1361941115
GF avg2.61.52.11.31.81.7
GA total551041115
GA avg1.01.31.11.31.81.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl-GharafaAl Wakrah
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%78%89%67%
1.578%33%56%67%
2.544%0%22%11%
3.511%0%0%11%
4.50%0%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl-GharafaAl Wakrah
HATHAT
Clean sheets112123
Failed to score022101

Penalties

MetricAl-GharafaAl Wakrah
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricAl-GharafaAl Wakrah
Wins22
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-33-20-1
Biggest losses—2-00-25-3
Goals For4333
Goals Against2225

Model comparison

MetricAl-GharafaAl Wakrah
Form62%38%
Att58%42%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h62%38%
Goals53%47%
Total61.2%38.8%

Advice: Double chance : Al-Gharafa or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.48 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.80 @ 188Bet
Away2.67 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.56 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.47 @ Pinnacle
No2.85 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al-Gharafa = 2.81 (league 1.67), Al Wakrah = 1.16 (league 1.56)

Al Wakrah
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Gharafa 0 1.9% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.3% 6.2% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.5% 8.7% 5.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 7.0% 8.1% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 4.9% 5.7% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 2.8% 3.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.1% · Draw 15.3% · Away win 12.9%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1