NB II — Hungary
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 15:00 • Ajkai Városi Sportcentrum
Match Finished
0 - 1
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.50) 1.15 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.7% 27.0% 31.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
1 - 0
11.1%
0 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Karcag SE
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ajka 0 8.3% 9.6% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.1% 12.8% 7.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.4% 8.5% 4.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.3% 3.8% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAjkaKarcag SE
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack17%22%
Defense78%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ajka Karcag SE
HATHAT
Played358358
Wins33%40%38%100%0%38%
Draws33%0%13%0%60%38%
Loses33%60%50%0%40%25%

Form: Ajka: LDWWLLLW • Karcag SE: LWDWDWDL

League goals

Metric Ajka Karcag SE
HATHAT
GF total3365510
GF avg1.00.60.81.71.01.3
GA total461021012
GA avg1.31.21.30.72.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAjkaKarcag SE
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%63%75%63%
1.513%25%38%50%
2.50%25%13%13%
3.50%13%0%13%
4.50%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAjkaKarcag SE
HATHAT
Clean sheets123213
Failed to score033022

Penalties

MetricAjkaKarcag SE
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAjkaKarcag SE
Wins21
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-23-2—
Biggest losses1-34-0—5-2
Goals For1232
Goals Against3425

Model comparison

MetricAjkaKarcag SE
Form43%57%
Att44%56%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total49.5%50.5%

Advice: No predictions available

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.38 @ Bet365
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away2.89 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ Superbet
No1.95 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ajka = 1.34 (league 1.50), Karcag SE = 1.15 (league 1.13)

Karcag SE
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ajka 0 8.3% 9.6% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.1% 12.8% 7.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.4% 8.5% 4.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.3% 3.8% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.7% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 31.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1