Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 17:00 •
Kórház utcai stadion
Expected Goals
0.85 (league 1.41)
0.81 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.7% | 34.5% | 31.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
19.0%
1 - 0
16.1%
0 - 1
15.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Karcag SE | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bekescsaba 1912 | 0 | 19.0% | 15.4% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 16.1% | 13.1% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Bekescsaba 1912 -31.9, Karcag SE -14.0.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Bekescsaba 1912
vs
Karcag SE
Elo gapBekescsaba 1912 +2
Home / draw / away35% / 30% / 35%
Expected home share50%
Combined Elo2961.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2961.4
Elo home share
50%
Match tone
Strong Watch
| Metric | Bekescsaba 1912 | Karcag SE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1464.2 | 1497.2 |
| Form Elo | 1451.4 | 1476.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1489.3 | 1510.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1481.1 | 1505.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1503.7 | 1458.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -31.9 | -14.0 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Bekescsaba 1912 last-5 Elo change: -31.9; Karcag SE last-5 Elo change: -14.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bekescsaba 1912 | Karcag SE |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 40% |
| Attack | 18% | 55% |
| Defense | 36% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bekescsaba 1912 | Karcag SE | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 23% | 15% | 19% | 54% | 15% | 35% |
| Draws | 38% | 31% | 35% | 8% | 46% | 27% |
| Loses | 38% | 54% | 46% | 38% | 38% | 38% |
Bekescsaba 1912DDLWLWLLDDDLLLDWDLWLWLLDLD
Karcag SELWDWDWDLWWLWDDDLDWLLLWLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Bekescsaba 1912 | Karcag SE | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 15 | 25 | 17 | 11 | 28 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 15 | 23 | 38 | 17 | 20 | 37 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bekescsaba 1912 | Karcag SE | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 58% | 81% | 69% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 42% | 23% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 15% | 12% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 4% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bekescsaba 1912 | Karcag SE | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bekescsaba 1912 | Karcag SE |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bekescsaba 1912 | Karcag SE |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-3 | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bekescsaba 1912 | Karcag SE |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 37.0% | 63.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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