Mon, Apr 27 2026 • 18:00 •
Bozsik Aréna
Expected Goals
2.80 (league 1.41)
1.07 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 66.9% | 14.9% | 11.7% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.7%
2 - 0
8.2%
3 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Soroksar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Budapest Honved | 0 | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.2% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.6% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Budapest Honved carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 181 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Budapest Honved -1.9, Soroksar +2.3.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Budapest Honved
vs
Soroksar
Elo gapBudapest Honved +181
Home / draw / away61% / 18% / 21%
Expected home share74%
Combined Elo3125.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3125.6
Elo home share
74%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Budapest Honved | Soroksar |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1635.8 | 1489.8 |
| Form Elo | 1632.8 | 1496.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1559.1 | 1479.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1626.7 | 1530.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1638.9 | 1483.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -1.9 | +2.3 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Budapest Honved last-5 Elo change: -1.9; Soroksar last-5 Elo change: +2.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Budapest Honved | Soroksar |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 47% |
| Attack | 55% | 55% |
| Defense | 64% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Budapest Honved | Soroksar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 69% | 62% | 65% | 38% | 8% | 23% |
| Draws | 15% | 8% | 12% | 23% | 38% | 31% |
| Loses | 15% | 31% | 23% | 38% | 54% | 46% |
Budapest HonvedWWWLWLWWDLWWDWWWDWWWLWWLLW
SoroksarDLDDLWWLLWLLDLLLDLWDDLLWDW
League goals
| Metric | Budapest Honved | Soroksar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 28 | 17 | 45 | 17 | 18 | 35 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 12 | 9 | 21 | 20 | 23 | 43 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Budapest Honved | Soroksar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 65% | 81% | 92% |
| 1.5 | 54% | 15% | 42% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 0% | 12% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Budapest Honved | Soroksar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Budapest Honved | Soroksar |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 7 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 7 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Budapest Honved | Soroksar |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-2 | 0-3 | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-1 | 1-5 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Budapest Honved | Soroksar |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 59% | 41% |
| Total | 62.2% | 37.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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