BVSC vs Fehérvár FC

NB II — Hungary

Sun, May 3 2026 • 15:00 • Szőnyi úti Stadion

Not Started

BVSC

—

Fehérvár FC

Expected Goals

1.01 (league 1.41) 1.15 (league 1.17)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
31.7%	29.3%	38.8%

best score tips

1 - 1

13.4%

0 - 1

13.2%

1 - 0

11.6%

Score & goals probability table

		Fehérvár FC
		0	1	2	3	4	5
BVSC	0	11.4%	13.2%	7.6%	2.9%	0.8%	0.2%
	1	11.6%	13.4%	7.7%	3.0%	0.9%	0.2%
	2	5.9%	6.8%	3.9%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%
	3	2.0%	2.3%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	0.5%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: BVSC -16.0, Fehérvár FC +14.6.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone

BVSC Elo 1488.7 · -16.0

Fehérvár FC Elo 1526.9 · +14.6

Elo gapFehérvár FC +3

Home / draw / away35% / 30% / 35%

Expected home share50%

Combined Elo3015.6

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook

Confidence band Thin confidence

Upset risk High

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 3015.6

Elo home share 50%

Match tone Strong Watch

Metric	BVSC	Fehérvár FC
Overall Elo	1488.7	1526.9
Form Elo	1500.6	1553.6
Home / Away Elo	1471.1	1498.7
Attack Elo	1472.1	1503
Defense Elo	1555.2	1574.2
Last 5 Elo change	-16.0	+14.6

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. BVSC last-5 Elo change: -16.0; Fehérvár FC last-5 Elo change: +14.6.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	BVSC	Fehérvár FC
Played	5	5
Form	27%	53%
Attack	40%	70%
Defense	40%	60%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	4 \| 0.8	7 \| 1.4
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	4 \| 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%

FT probability

2.5+

46%

FT probability

3.5+

33%

FT probability

BTTS

66%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	BVSC			Fehérvár FC
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	13	14	27	14	13	27
Wins	31%	43%	37%	43%	31%	37%
Draws	31%	0%	15%	36%	31%	33%
Loses	38%	57%	48%	21%	38%	30%

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Fehérvár FCLDDLWLWDDLWLLDDLWWWWWDDWDWL

League goals

Metric	BVSC			Fehérvár FC
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	14	16	30	16	19	35
GF avg	1.1	1.1	1.1	1.1	1.5	1.3
GA total	12	16	28	10	17	27
GA avg	0.9	1.1	1.0	0.7	1.3	1.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	BVSC		Fehérvár FC
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	59%	74%	74%	63%
1.5	33%	26%	30%	26%
2.5	15%	4%	11%	11%
3.5	4%	0%	7%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	7%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	BVSC			Fehérvár FC
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	2	5	7	7	3	10
Failed to score	6	5	11	5	2	7

Penalties

Metric	BVSC	Fehérvár FC
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	2

Streaks

Metric	BVSC	Fehérvár FC
Wins	3	5
Draws	1	2
Losses	3	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-0	0-3	5-0	1-5
Biggest losses	0-2	3-0	0-3	3-1
Goals For	4	3	5	5
Goals Against	2	3	3	3

Model comparison

Metric	BVSC	Fehérvár FC
Form	33%	67%
Att	36%	64%
Def	40%	60%
Poisson Distribution	48%	52%
H2h	50%	50%
Goals	38%	63%
Total	40.8%	59.3%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • BVSC vs Fehérvár FC

Metric	BVSC	Fehérvár FC
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	2