Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 12:00 • Bremer Brücke
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.56) 0.36 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.2% 35.1% 12.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
25.8%
0 - 0
25.1%
2 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Erzgebirge Aue
0 1 2 3 4 5
VfL Osnabrück 0 25.1% 8.9% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.8% 9.2% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.3% 4.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVfL OsnabrückErzgebirge Aue
Played55
Form53%20%
Attack35%24%
Defense76%35%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric VfL Osnabrück Erzgebirge Aue
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%33%33%33%0%17%
Draws67%33%50%33%0%17%
Loses0%33%17%33%100%67%

Form: VfL Osnabrück: DLWWDD • Erzgebirge Aue: DLWLLL

League goals

Metric VfL Osnabrück Erzgebirge Aue
HATHAT
GF total246224
GF avg0.71.31.00.70.70.7
GA total0444711
GA avg0.01.30.71.32.31.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVfL OsnabrückErzgebirge Aue
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%33%50%83%
1.533%17%17%50%
2.50%17%0%33%
3.50%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVfL OsnabrückErzgebirge Aue
HATHAT
Clean sheets314101
Failed to score202213

Penalties

MetricVfL OsnabrückErzgebirge Aue
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricVfL OsnabrückErzgebirge Aue
Wins21
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-22-1
Biggest losses3-10-34-1
Goals For2221
Goals Against0334

Model comparison

MetricVfL OsnabrückErzgebirge Aue
Form73%27%
Att60%40%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h38%62%
Goals45%55%
Total57.8%42.2%

Advice: Double chance : VfL Osnabrück or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ William Hill
Draw3.87 @ Pinnacle
Away4.01 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ 188Bet
No2.13 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.04 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): VfL Osnabrück = 1.03 (league 1.56), Erzgebirge Aue = 0.36 (league 1.38)

Erzgebirge Aue
0 1 2 3 4 5
VfL Osnabrück 0 25.1% 8.9% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.8% 9.2% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.3% 4.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.2% · Draw 35.1% · Away win 12.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1