Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 12:00 • Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.50 (league 1.56) 1.96 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.2% 18.9% 29.2%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.1%
2 - 2
6.9%
3 - 1
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
FC Ingolstadt 04
0 1 2 3 4 5
MSV Duisburg 0 1.2% 2.3% 2.2% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
1 2.9% 5.7% 5.6% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7%
2 3.6% 7.1% 6.9% 4.5% 2.2% 0.9%
3 3.0% 5.9% 5.8% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7%
4 1.9% 3.7% 3.6% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5%
5 0.9% 1.8% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMSV DuisburgFC Ingolstadt 04
Played55
Form87%40%
Attack63%53%
Defense74%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

89%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric MSV Duisburg FC Ingolstadt 04
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins100%75%86%0%33%14%
Draws0%25%14%75%33%57%
Loses0%0%0%25%33%29%

Form: MSV Duisburg: WWWWWWD • FC Ingolstadt 04: DLDDLWD

League goals

Metric MSV Duisburg FC Ingolstadt 04
HATHAT
GF total711184812
GF avg2.32.82.61.02.71.7
GA total3365510
GA avg1.00.80.91.31.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMSV DuisburgFC Ingolstadt 04
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%71%86%86%
1.586%14%29%43%
2.557%0%14%14%
3.514%0%14%0%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMSV DuisburgFC Ingolstadt 04
HATHAT
Clean sheets022101
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricMSV DuisburgFC Ingolstadt 04
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMSV DuisburgFC Ingolstadt 04
Wins61
Draws02
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-42-6
Biggest losses2-32-1
Goals For3426
Goals Against1232

Model comparison

MetricMSV DuisburgFC Ingolstadt 04
Form68%32%
Att55%45%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h0%100%
Goals14%86%
Total50.6%49.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or FC Ingolstadt 04

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.26 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.80 @ 10Bet
Away3.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Betano
Under 2.52.55 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Betano
No2.64 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): MSV Duisburg = 2.50 (league 1.56), FC Ingolstadt 04 = 1.96 (league 1.38)

FC Ingolstadt 04
0 1 2 3 4 5
MSV Duisburg 0 1.2% 2.3% 2.2% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
1 2.9% 5.7% 5.6% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7%
2 3.6% 7.1% 6.9% 4.5% 2.2% 0.9%
3 3.0% 5.9% 5.8% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7%
4 1.9% 3.7% 3.6% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5%
5 0.9% 1.8% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.2% · Draw 18.9% · Away win 29.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1