Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 14:30 • Dietmar-Hopp Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.94 (league 1.56) 1.85 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.6% 16.7% 21.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
6.7%
3 - 1
6.5%
2 - 2
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
SSV Ulm 1846
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hoffenheim II 0 0.8% 1.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 2.4% 4.5% 4.2% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4%
2 3.6% 6.7% 6.1% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.5% 6.5% 6.0% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6%
4 2.6% 4.8% 4.4% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
5 1.5% 2.8% 2.6% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHoffenheim IISSV Ulm 1846
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack65%40%
Defense60%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hoffenheim II SSV Ulm 1846
HATHAT
Played347347
Wins33%75%57%67%25%43%
Draws33%0%14%0%0%0%
Loses33%25%29%33%75%57%

Form: Hoffenheim II: DWWWLLW • SSV Ulm 1846: LWLLWLW

League goals

Metric Hoffenheim II SSV Ulm 1846
HATHAT
GF total611174610
GF avg2.02.82.41.31.51.4
GA total55103912
GA avg1.71.31.41.02.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHoffenheim IISSV Ulm 1846
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%71%100%86%
1.557%43%29%57%
2.543%14%14%29%
3.543%14%0%0%
4.514%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHoffenheim IISSV Ulm 1846
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricHoffenheim IISSV Ulm 1846
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricHoffenheim IISSV Ulm 1846
Wins31
Draws10
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-52-11-3
Biggest losses2-42-11-23-1
Goals For4523
Goals Against4223

Model comparison

MetricHoffenheim IISSV Ulm 1846
Form60%40%
Att62%38%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h7%93%
Goals27%73%
Total45.2%54.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Hoffenheim II or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ 10Bet
Draw4.01 @ Pinnacle
Away3.05 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.43 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Bet365
No2.58 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Hoffenheim II = 2.94 (league 1.56), SSV Ulm 1846 = 1.85 (league 1.38)

SSV Ulm 1846
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hoffenheim II 0 0.8% 1.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 2.4% 4.5% 4.2% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4%
2 3.6% 6.7% 6.1% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.5% 6.5% 6.0% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6%
4 2.6% 4.8% 4.4% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
5 1.5% 2.8% 2.6% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.6% · Draw 16.7% · Away win 21.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1