3. Liga — Germany
Wed, Oct 1 2025 • 17:00 • Sportclub Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.24 (league 1.60) 2.96 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.8% 17.1% 45.6%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.1%
2 - 3
6.0%
1 - 2
5.4%
Score & goals probability table
FC Ingolstadt 04
0 1 2 3 4 5
Verl 0 0.5% 1.6% 2.4% 2.4% 1.8% 1.0%
1 1.2% 3.7% 5.4% 5.3% 3.9% 2.3%
2 1.4% 4.1% 6.1% 6.0% 4.4% 2.6%
3 1.0% 3.1% 4.5% 4.5% 3.3% 2.0%
4 0.6% 1.7% 2.5% 2.5% 1.9% 1.1%
5 0.3% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVerlFC Ingolstadt 04
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack100%100%
Defense10%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

74%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

91%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Verl FC Ingolstadt 04
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%25%38%0%25%13%
Draws25%50%38%75%25%50%
Loses25%25%25%25%50%38%

Form: Verl: DDDLWWWL • FC Ingolstadt 04: DLDDLWDL

League goals

Metric Verl FC Ingolstadt 04
HATHAT
GF total87154913
GF avg2.01.81.91.02.31.6
GA total77145712
GA avg1.81.81.81.31.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVerlFC Ingolstadt 04
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%100%88%88%
1.575%63%25%50%
2.513%13%13%13%
3.513%0%13%0%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVerlFC Ingolstadt 04
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricVerlFC Ingolstadt 04
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricVerlFC Ingolstadt 04
Wins31
Draws32
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-4—2-6
Biggest losses2-32-02-32-1
Goals For2426
Goals Against3232

Model comparison

MetricVerlFC Ingolstadt 04
Form64%36%
Att50%50%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h38%62%
Goals38%63%
Total47.0%53.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or FC Ingolstadt 04 and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.12 @ Betano
Draw4.20 @ Pinnacle
Away3.10 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.69 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.45 @ Pinnacle
No2.77 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Verl = 2.24 (league 1.60), FC Ingolstadt 04 = 2.96 (league 1.40)

FC Ingolstadt 04
0 1 2 3 4 5
Verl 0 0.5% 1.6% 2.4% 2.4% 1.8% 1.0%
1 1.2% 3.7% 5.4% 5.3% 3.9% 2.3%
2 1.4% 4.1% 6.1% 6.0% 4.4% 2.6%
3 1.0% 3.1% 4.5% 4.5% 3.3% 2.0%
4 0.6% 1.7% 2.5% 2.5% 1.9% 1.1%
5 0.3% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.8% · Draw 17.1% · Away win 45.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1