3. Liga — Germany
Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 17:00 • Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.62) 0.21 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.3% 26.0% 5.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
27.8%
2 - 0
19.7%
0 - 0
19.6%
Score & goals probability table
Hansa Rostock
0 1 2 3 4 5
MSV Duisburg 0 19.6% 4.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.8% 5.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.7% 4.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.3% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMSV DuisburgHansa Rostock
Played55
Form73%33%
Attack45%20%
Defense85%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric MSV Duisburg Hansa Rostock
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins100%60%78%40%0%22%
Draws0%40%22%20%75%44%
Loses0%0%0%40%25%33%

Form: MSV Duisburg: WWWWWWDWD • Hansa Rostock: DWDLDWLDL

League goals

Metric MSV Duisburg Hansa Rostock
HATHAT
GF total91120516
GF avg2.32.22.21.00.30.7
GA total4376410
GA avg1.00.60.81.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMSV DuisburgHansa Rostock
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%67%56%67%
1.578%11%11%22%
2.544%0%0%22%
3.511%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMSV DuisburgHansa Rostock
HATHAT
Clean sheets033123
Failed to score011134

Penalties

MetricMSV DuisburgHansa Rostock
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMSV DuisburgHansa Rostock
Wins61
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-42-1—
Biggest losses——1-33-0
Goals For3421
Goals Against1233

Model comparison

MetricMSV DuisburgHansa Rostock
Form69%31%
Att69%31%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution89%11%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total60.8%39.2%

Advice: Double chance : MSV Duisburg or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ William Hill
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.95 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.91 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.13 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): MSV Duisburg = 1.42 (league 1.62), Hansa Rostock = 0.21 (league 1.41)

Hansa Rostock
0 1 2 3 4 5
MSV Duisburg 0 19.6% 4.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.8% 5.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.7% 4.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.3% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.3% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 5.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1