Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 12:00 • Audi Sportpark
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.56) 1.32 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.6% 26.4% 37.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 1
9.8%
1 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
SSV Ulm 1846
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Ingolstadt 04 0 7.4% 9.8% 6.5% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
1 9.5% 12.6% 8.3% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.1% 8.0% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.6% 3.4% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC Ingolstadt 04SSV Ulm 1846
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack55%60%
Defense55%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Ingolstadt 04 SSV Ulm 1846
HATHAT
Played459459
Wins0%20%11%75%20%44%
Draws75%40%56%0%20%11%
Loses25%40%33%25%60%44%

Form: FC Ingolstadt 04: DLDDLWDLD • SSV Ulm 1846: LWLLWLWDW

League goals

Metric FC Ingolstadt 04 SSV Ulm 1846
HATHAT
GF total411159716
GF avg1.02.21.72.31.41.8
GA total591441014
GA avg1.31.81.61.02.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC Ingolstadt 04SSV Ulm 1846
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%89%100%89%
1.533%56%33%44%
2.511%11%22%22%
3.511%0%11%0%
4.511%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC Ingolstadt 04SSV Ulm 1846
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricFC Ingolstadt 04SSV Ulm 1846
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFC Ingolstadt 04SSV Ulm 1846
Wins11
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-65-11-3
Biggest losses2-32-11-23-1
Goals For2653
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricFC Ingolstadt 04SSV Ulm 1846
Form33%67%
Att48%52%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h67%33%
Goals70%30%
Total52.0%48.0%

Advice: Double chance : FC Ingolstadt 04 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ Bet365
Draw3.79 @ Pinnacle
Away2.65 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Betano
Under 2.52.45 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ Pinnacle
No2.60 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): FC Ingolstadt 04 = 1.28 (league 1.56), SSV Ulm 1846 = 1.32 (league 1.38)

SSV Ulm 1846
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Ingolstadt 04 0 7.4% 9.8% 6.5% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
1 9.5% 12.6% 8.3% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.1% 8.0% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.6% 3.4% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.6% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 37.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1