3. Liga — Germany
Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 12:00 • Tivoli
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.59) 3.79 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.7% 10.5% 62.3%
best score tips
1 - 3
7.2%
1 - 4
6.8%
1 - 2
5.7%
Score & goals probability table
FC Ingolstadt 04
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alemannia Aachen 0 0.6% 2.2% 4.2% 5.3% 5.0% 3.8%
1 0.8% 3.0% 5.7% 7.2% 6.8% 5.1%
2 0.5% 2.0% 3.8% 4.9% 4.6% 3.5%
3 0.2% 0.9% 1.7% 2.2% 2.1% 1.6%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlemannia AachenFC Ingolstadt 04
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack69%81%
Defense44%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.213 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

74%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alemannia Aachen FC Ingolstadt 04
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins20%40%30%20%20%20%
Draws0%20%10%60%40%50%
Loses80%40%60%20%40%30%

Form: Alemannia Aachen: DLLWLLWWLL • FC Ingolstadt 04: DLDDLWDLDW

League goals

Metric Alemannia Aachen FC Ingolstadt 04
HATHAT
GF total6111781119
GF avg1.22.21.71.62.21.9
GA total128206915
GA avg2.41.62.01.21.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlemannia AachenFC Ingolstadt 04
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%90%90%90%
1.550%70%40%50%
2.530%30%20%10%
3.510%10%20%0%
4.510%0%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlemannia AachenFC Ingolstadt 04
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score213101

Penalties

MetricAlemannia AachenFC Ingolstadt 04
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total60

Streaks

MetricAlemannia AachenFC Ingolstadt 04
Wins21
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-54-12-6
Biggest losses2-43-22-32-1
Goals For3546
Goals Against4332

Model comparison

MetricAlemannia AachenFC Ingolstadt 04
Form43%57%
Att46%54%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h80%20%
Goals67%33%
Total51.2%48.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Alemannia Aachen or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.53 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.75 @ 188Bet
Away2.67 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ William Hill
No2.70 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.42 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alemannia Aachen = 1.36 (league 1.59), FC Ingolstadt 04 = 3.79 (league 1.39)

FC Ingolstadt 04
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alemannia Aachen 0 0.6% 2.2% 4.2% 5.3% 5.0% 3.8%
1 0.8% 3.0% 5.7% 7.2% 6.8% 5.1%
2 0.5% 2.0% 3.8% 4.9% 4.6% 3.5%
3 0.2% 0.9% 1.7% 2.2% 2.1% 1.6%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.7% · Draw 10.5% · Away win 62.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1