Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 17:00 • Erzgebirgsstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.56) 1.57 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.4% 24.4% 41.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
1 - 2
8.9%
0 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Waldhof Mannheim
0 1 2 3 4 5
Erzgebirge Aue 0 5.3% 8.2% 6.4% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
1 7.3% 11.4% 8.9% 4.6% 1.8% 0.6%
2 5.0% 7.8% 6.1% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4%
3 2.3% 3.6% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.8% 1.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricErzgebirge AueWaldhof Mannheim
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack37%63%
Defense63%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Erzgebirge Aue Waldhof Mannheim
HATHAT
Played55106410
Wins40%20%30%33%50%40%
Draws40%0%20%17%0%10%
Loses20%80%50%50%50%50%

Form: Erzgebirge Aue: DLWLLLLWWD • Waldhof Mannheim: DLWWLLLWWL

League goals

Metric Erzgebirge Aue Waldhof Mannheim
HATHAT
GF total641011718
GF avg1.20.81.01.81.81.8
GA total6101611718
GA avg1.22.01.61.81.81.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineErzgebirge AueWaldhof Mannheim
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%70%70%90%
1.530%50%60%50%
2.50%30%20%30%
3.50%10%10%10%
4.50%0%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricErzgebirge AueWaldhof Mannheim
HATHAT
Clean sheets213101
Failed to score213213

Penalties

MetricErzgebirge AueWaldhof Mannheim
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricErzgebirge AueWaldhof Mannheim
Wins22
Draws11
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-16-12-3
Biggest losses0-34-11-43-2
Goals For2163
Goals Against3443

Model comparison

MetricErzgebirge AueWaldhof Mannheim
Form54%46%
Att37%63%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h40%60%
Goals33%67%
Total45.3%54.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Waldhof Mannheim

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.77 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away2.52 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ 188Bet
No2.46 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Erzgebirge Aue = 1.38 (league 1.56), Waldhof Mannheim = 1.57 (league 1.38)

Waldhof Mannheim
0 1 2 3 4 5
Erzgebirge Aue 0 5.3% 8.2% 6.4% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
1 7.3% 11.4% 8.9% 4.6% 1.8% 0.6%
2 5.0% 7.8% 6.1% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4%
3 2.3% 3.6% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.8% 1.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.4% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 41.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1