3. Liga — Germany
Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 12:30 • Dietmar-Hopp Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.62) 1.02 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.9% 21.5% 19.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.1%
2 - 1
10.0%
1 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Erzgebirge Aue
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hoffenheim II 0 5.0% 5.1% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.9% 10.1% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.7% 10.0% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.4% 6.5% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.2% 3.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHoffenheim IIErzgebirge Aue
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack60%30%
Defense60%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hoffenheim II Erzgebirge Aue
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins20%67%45%33%20%27%
Draws40%0%18%33%0%18%
Loses40%33%36%33%80%55%

Form: Hoffenheim II: DWWWLLWDLLW • Erzgebirge Aue: DLWLLLLWWDL

League goals

Metric Hoffenheim II Erzgebirge Aue
HATHAT
GF total816246410
GF avg1.62.72.21.00.80.9
GA total981781018
GA avg1.81.31.51.32.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHoffenheim IIErzgebirge Aue
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%73%64%73%
1.545%45%27%55%
2.536%27%0%27%
3.536%9%0%9%
4.59%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHoffenheim IIErzgebirge Aue
HATHAT
Clean sheets123213
Failed to score101314

Penalties

MetricHoffenheim IIErzgebirge Aue
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricHoffenheim IIErzgebirge Aue
Wins32
Draws11
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-52-00-1
Biggest losses2-43-10-34-1
Goals For4521
Goals Against4334

Model comparison

MetricHoffenheim IIErzgebirge Aue
Form50%50%
Att67%33%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total57.5%42.5%

Advice: Double chance : Hoffenheim II or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ William Hill
Draw3.90 @ Bet365
Away3.80 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.67 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ William Hill
No2.72 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hoffenheim II = 1.97 (league 1.62), Erzgebirge Aue = 1.02 (league 1.41)

Erzgebirge Aue
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hoffenheim II 0 5.0% 5.1% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.9% 10.1% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.7% 10.0% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.4% 6.5% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.2% 3.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.9% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 19.0%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1