3. Liga — Germany
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 13:00 • Erzgebirgsstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.94 (league 1.60) 0.65 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.7% 34.9% 24.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.4%
1 - 0
19.1%
0 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
SSV Jahn Regensburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Erzgebirge Aue 0 20.4% 13.3% 4.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 19.1% 12.5% 4.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.0% 5.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricErzgebirge AueSSV Jahn Regensburg
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack35%47%
Defense71%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Erzgebirge Aue SSV Jahn Regensburg
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins33%17%25%50%17%33%
Draws33%17%25%17%17%17%
Loses33%67%50%33%67%50%

Form: Erzgebirge Aue: DLWLLLLWWDLD • SSV Jahn Regensburg: DLWLLLLWLDWW

League goals

Metric Erzgebirge Aue SSV Jahn Regensburg
HATHAT
GF total651110414
GF avg1.00.80.91.70.71.2
GA total8111910919
GA avg1.31.81.61.71.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineErzgebirge AueSSV Jahn Regensburg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%75%67%83%
1.525%50%33%50%
2.50%25%17%17%
3.50%8%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricErzgebirge AueSSV Jahn Regensburg
HATHAT
Clean sheets213202
Failed to score314134

Penalties

MetricErzgebirge AueSSV Jahn Regensburg
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricErzgebirge AueSSV Jahn Regensburg
Wins21
Draws11
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-13-01-2
Biggest losses0-34-10-42-0
Goals For2132
Goals Against3442

Model comparison

MetricErzgebirge AueSSV Jahn Regensburg
Form44%56%
Att43%57%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total44.5%55.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or SSV Jahn Regensburg

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ William Hill
Draw3.76 @ Pinnacle
Away3.17 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ Pinnacle
No2.23 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.77 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Erzgebirge Aue = 0.94 (league 1.60), SSV Jahn Regensburg = 0.65 (league 1.40)

SSV Jahn Regensburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Erzgebirge Aue 0 20.4% 13.3% 4.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 19.1% 12.5% 4.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.0% 5.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.7% · Draw 34.9% · Away win 24.4%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1