Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 13:00 • Bremer Brücke
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.59) 1.15 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.1% 30.9% 44.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.1%
0 - 0
14.9%
1 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
MSV Duisburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
VfL Osnabrück 0 14.9% 17.1% 9.8% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2%
1 11.2% 12.9% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 4.2% 4.9% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVfL OsnabrückMSV Duisburg
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack44%33%
Defense67%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric VfL Osnabrück MSV Duisburg
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins50%50%50%67%50%58%
Draws33%33%33%33%33%33%
Loses17%17%17%0%17%8%

Form: VfL Osnabrück: DLWWDDWDWWLW • MSV Duisburg: WWWWWWDWDDLD

League goals

Metric VfL Osnabrück MSV Duisburg
HATHAT
GF total71017121224
GF avg1.21.71.42.02.02.0
GA total56117613
GA avg0.81.00.91.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVfL OsnabrückMSV Duisburg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%50%92%75%
1.550%17%67%25%
2.517%17%33%8%
3.58%8%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVfL OsnabrückMSV Duisburg
HATHAT
Clean sheets426033
Failed to score314011

Penalties

MetricVfL OsnabrückMSV Duisburg
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricVfL OsnabrückMSV Duisburg
Wins26
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-43-10-4
Biggest losses0-43-13-1
Goals For3434
Goals Against4323

Model comparison

MetricVfL OsnabrückMSV Duisburg
Form63%38%
Att57%43%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h71%29%
Goals61%39%
Total57.3%42.8%

Advice: Double chance : VfL Osnabrück or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.22 @ 1xBet
Draw3.55 @ Pinnacle
Away3.20 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.95 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Betano
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): VfL Osnabrück = 0.75 (league 1.59), MSV Duisburg = 1.15 (league 1.39)

MSV Duisburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
VfL Osnabrück 0 14.9% 17.1% 9.8% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2%
1 11.2% 12.9% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 4.2% 4.9% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.1% · Draw 30.9% · Away win 44.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1