Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 13:00 • Audi Sportpark
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.46 (league 1.59) 1.72 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.2% 19.1% 25.9%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.9%
2 - 2
6.8%
3 - 1
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
Rot-Weiß Essen
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Ingolstadt 04 0 1.5% 2.6% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
1 3.7% 6.5% 5.6% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
2 4.6% 7.9% 6.8% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.8% 6.5% 5.6% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
4 2.3% 4.0% 3.5% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
5 1.1% 2.0% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC Ingolstadt 04Rot-Weiß Essen
Played55
Form67%73%
Attack71%64%
Defense50%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

87%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Ingolstadt 04 Rot-Weiß Essen
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins33%29%31%57%33%46%
Draws50%29%38%29%50%38%
Loses17%43%31%14%17%15%

Form: FC Ingolstadt 04: DLDDLWDLDWWWL • Rot-Weiß Essen: DDWLWDWLWDWDW

League goals

Metric FC Ingolstadt 04 Rot-Weiß Essen
HATHAT
GF total101323131225
GF avg1.71.91.81.92.01.9
GA total7121971421
GA avg1.21.71.51.02.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC Ingolstadt 04Rot-Weiß Essen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%85%100%85%
1.538%46%54%31%
2.515%15%31%23%
3.515%0%8%8%
4.58%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC Ingolstadt 04Rot-Weiß Essen
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricFC Ingolstadt 04Rot-Weiß Essen
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricFC Ingolstadt 04Rot-Weiß Essen
Wins31
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-63-01-3
Biggest losses2-33-12-36-1
Goals For4634
Goals Against3336

Model comparison

MetricFC Ingolstadt 04Rot-Weiß Essen
Form48%52%
Att53%47%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h38%62%
Goals33%67%
Total45.5%54.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Rot-Weiß Essen

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.02 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.89 @ Pinnacle
Away2.30 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.75 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ Betano
No3.02 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): FC Ingolstadt 04 = 2.46 (league 1.59), Rot-Weiß Essen = 1.72 (league 1.39)

Rot-Weiß Essen
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Ingolstadt 04 0 1.5% 2.6% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
1 3.7% 6.5% 5.6% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
2 4.6% 7.9% 6.8% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.8% 6.5% 5.6% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
4 2.3% 4.0% 3.5% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
5 1.1% 2.0% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.2% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 25.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1