3. Liga — Germany
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 13:00 • Sportclub Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.77 (league 1.62) 0.85 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.1% 13.8% 8.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.2%
3 - 0
9.5%
2 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Erzgebirge Aue
0 1 2 3 4 5
Verl 0 2.7% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.4% 6.3% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.2% 8.7% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.5% 8.1% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.6% 5.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.6% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVerlErzgebirge Aue
Played55
Form73%53%
Attack100%57%
Defense50%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 38 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Verl Erzgebirge Aue
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins50%43%46%43%17%31%
Draws33%43%38%29%17%23%
Loses17%14%15%29%67%46%

Form: Verl: DDDLWWWLDWWWD • Erzgebirge Aue: DLWLLLLWWDLDW

League goals

Metric Verl Erzgebirge Aue
HATHAT
GF total15153010515
GF avg2.52.12.31.40.81.2
GA total91221111122
GA avg1.51.71.61.61.81.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVerlErzgebirge Aue
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%92%69%77%
1.585%62%31%54%
2.523%8%8%31%
3.523%0%8%8%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVerlErzgebirge Aue
HATHAT
Clean sheets101213
Failed to score011314

Penalties

MetricVerlErzgebirge Aue
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricVerlErzgebirge Aue
Wins32
Draws31
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-02-42-00-1
Biggest losses2-32-00-34-1
Goals For5441
Goals Against3234

Model comparison

MetricVerlErzgebirge Aue
Form58%42%
Att65%35%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h100%0%
Goals72%28%
Total64.8%35.2%

Advice: Double chance : Verl or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.82 @ 188Bet
Draw4.35 @ Pinnacle
Away4.10 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Betano
Under 2.52.63 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.51 @ Pinnacle
No2.58 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Verl = 2.77 (league 1.62), Erzgebirge Aue = 0.85 (league 1.41)

Erzgebirge Aue
0 1 2 3 4 5
Verl 0 2.7% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.4% 6.3% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.2% 8.7% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.5% 8.1% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.6% 5.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.6% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.1% · Draw 13.8% · Away win 8.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1