3. Liga — Germany
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 15:30 • Erzgebirgsstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.62) 1.82 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.5% 22.3% 41.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.4%
1 - 2
8.5%
2 - 1
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
Stuttgart II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Erzgebirge Aue 0 3.1% 5.7% 5.2% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
1 5.2% 9.4% 8.5% 5.2% 2.4% 0.9%
2 4.2% 7.7% 7.0% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
3 2.3% 4.2% 3.8% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
4 0.9% 1.7% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricErzgebirge AueStuttgart II
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack62%92%
Defense31%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.612 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Erzgebirge Aue Stuttgart II
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins43%14%29%43%43%43%
Draws29%29%29%29%14%21%
Loses29%57%43%29%43%36%

Form: Erzgebirge Aue: DLWLLLLWWDLDWD • Stuttgart II: LWDDLWWLDWWLWL

League goals

Metric Erzgebirge Aue Stuttgart II
HATHAT
GF total10616101121
GF avg1.40.91.11.41.61.5
GA total11122391322
GA avg1.61.71.61.31.91.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineErzgebirge AueStuttgart II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%79%86%79%
1.529%50%43%36%
2.57%29%21%29%
3.57%7%0%7%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricErzgebirge AueStuttgart II
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score314112

Penalties

MetricErzgebirge AueStuttgart II
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total06

Streaks

MetricErzgebirge AueStuttgart II
Wins22
Draws12
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-13-01-3
Biggest losses0-34-11-35-0
Goals For4133
Goals Against3435

Model comparison

MetricErzgebirge AueStuttgart II
Form40%60%
Att40%60%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h100%0%
Goals75%25%
Total50.2%49.8%

Advice: Double chance : Erzgebirge Aue or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.56 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.77 @ Pinnacle
Away2.60 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.54 @ Pinnacle
No2.48 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Erzgebirge Aue = 1.64 (league 1.62), Stuttgart II = 1.82 (league 1.41)

Stuttgart II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Erzgebirge Aue 0 3.1% 5.7% 5.2% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
1 5.2% 9.4% 8.5% 5.2% 2.4% 0.9%
2 4.2% 7.7% 7.0% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
3 2.3% 4.2% 3.8% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
4 0.9% 1.7% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.5% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 41.5%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1