3. Liga — Germany
Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 18:00 • Dietmar-Hopp Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.60) 1.70 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.7% 23.9% 55.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.6%
1 - 1
11.4%
0 - 2
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
MSV Duisburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hoffenheim II 0 7.4% 12.6% 10.8% 6.1% 2.6% 0.9%
1 6.7% 11.4% 9.7% 5.5% 2.3% 0.8%
2 3.0% 5.1% 4.3% 2.5% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.9% 1.5% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack69%46%
Defense54%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hoffenheim II MSV Duisburg
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins29%57%43%71%43%57%
Draws43%0%21%29%43%36%
Loses29%43%36%0%14%7%

Form: Hoffenheim II: DWWWLLWDLLWDWL • MSV Duisburg: WWWWWWDWDDLDDW

League goals

Metric Hoffenheim II MSV Duisburg
HATHAT
GF total111728141226
GF avg1.62.42.02.01.71.9
GA total1010208614
GA avg1.41.41.41.10.91.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%71%86%71%
1.543%43%64%21%
2.529%21%29%7%
3.529%7%7%0%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
HATHAT
Clean sheets224044
Failed to score101022

Penalties

MetricHoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricHoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
Wins36
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-53-10-4
Biggest losses2-43-1—3-1
Goals For4534
Goals Against4323

Model comparison

MetricHoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
Form54%46%
Att60%40%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total50.3%49.8%

Advice: Double chance : Hoffenheim II or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.60 @ 10Bet
Draw3.71 @ Pinnacle
Away2.56 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ William Hill
No2.45 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Hoffenheim II = 0.90 (league 1.60), MSV Duisburg = 1.70 (league 1.40)

MSV Duisburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hoffenheim II 0 7.4% 12.6% 10.8% 6.1% 2.6% 0.9%
1 6.7% 11.4% 9.7% 5.5% 2.3% 0.8%
2 3.0% 5.1% 4.3% 2.5% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.9% 1.5% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.7% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 55.6%

Vtot 11 , Vtod1