3. Liga — Germany
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 13:00 • Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.62) 1.80 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.6% 22.2% 39.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.1%
1 - 2
8.2%
2 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Alemannia Aachen
0 1 2 3 4 5
MSV Duisburg 0 2.9% 5.3% 4.8% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5%
1 5.1% 9.1% 8.2% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.4% 7.9% 7.1% 4.3% 1.9% 0.7%
3 2.5% 4.5% 4.1% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.1% 2.0% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMSV DuisburgAlemannia Aachen
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack42%58%
Defense25%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric MSV Duisburg Alemannia Aachen
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins71%38%53%25%57%40%
Draws29%38%33%0%14%7%
Loses0%25%13%75%29%53%

Form: MSV Duisburg: WWWWWWDWDDLDDWL • Alemannia Aachen: DLLWLLWWLLLWWWL

League goals

Metric MSV Duisburg Alemannia Aachen
HATHAT
GF total14132781624
GF avg2.01.61.81.02.31.6
GA total81018151025
GA avg1.11.31.21.91.41.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMSV DuisburgAlemannia Aachen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%73%67%87%
1.560%27%53%53%
2.527%13%27%20%
3.57%7%7%7%
4.50%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMSV DuisburgAlemannia Aachen
HATHAT
Clean sheets044112
Failed to score022415

Penalties

MetricMSV DuisburgAlemannia Aachen
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total08

Streaks

MetricMSV DuisburgAlemannia Aachen
Wins63
Draws21
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-42-01-5
Biggest losses—4-12-43-2
Goals For3435
Goals Against2443

Model comparison

MetricMSV DuisburgAlemannia Aachen
Form36%64%
Att42%58%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h80%20%
Goals67%33%
Total51.7%48.3%

Advice: Double chance : MSV Duisburg or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ 188Bet
Draw3.56 @ Pinnacle
Away3.95 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.91 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ 188Bet
No2.06 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): MSV Duisburg = 1.73 (league 1.62), Alemannia Aachen = 1.80 (league 1.41)

Alemannia Aachen
0 1 2 3 4 5
MSV Duisburg 0 2.9% 5.3% 4.8% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5%
1 5.1% 9.1% 8.2% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.4% 7.9% 7.1% 4.3% 1.9% 0.7%
3 2.5% 4.5% 4.1% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.1% 2.0% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.6% · Draw 22.2% · Away win 39.4%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1