Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 13:00 • Ludwigspark Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.62 (league 1.60) 1.86 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.5% 18.4% 26.0%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.2%
2 - 2
6.7%
3 - 1
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
Rot-Weiß Essen
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Saarbrücken 0 1.1% 2.1% 2.0% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
1 3.0% 5.5% 5.1% 3.2% 1.5% 0.6%
2 3.9% 7.2% 6.7% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
3 3.4% 6.3% 5.9% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6%
4 2.2% 4.1% 3.8% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
5 1.2% 2.2% 2.0% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC SaarbrückenRot-Weiß Essen
Played55
Form7%67%
Attack33%67%
Defense8%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Saarbrücken Rot-Weiß Essen
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins57%13%33%50%43%47%
Draws29%38%33%25%43%33%
Loses14%50%33%25%14%20%

Form: FC Saarbrücken: DWLWWWWDDDLLLDL • Rot-Weiß Essen: DDWLWDWLWDWDWWL

League goals

Metric FC Saarbrücken Rot-Weiß Essen
HATHAT
GF total14923151429
GF avg2.01.11.51.92.01.9
GA total91423101525
GA avg1.31.81.51.32.11.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC SaarbrückenRot-Weiß Essen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%93%100%87%
1.547%40%60%33%
2.527%13%27%27%
3.57%7%7%7%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC SaarbrückenRot-Weiß Essen
HATHAT
Clean sheets101202
Failed to score134000

Penalties

MetricFC SaarbrückenRot-Weiß Essen
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricFC SaarbrückenRot-Weiß Essen
Wins42
Draws32
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-33-01-3
Biggest losses2-42-02-36-1
Goals For4334
Goals Against4336

Model comparison

MetricFC SaarbrückenRot-Weiß Essen
Form9%91%
Att33%67%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h71%29%
Goals75%25%
Total47.0%53.0%

Advice: Double chance : FC Saarbrücken or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.71 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away2.51 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ William Hill
No2.47 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Saarbrücken = 2.62 (league 1.60), Rot-Weiß Essen = 1.86 (league 1.40)

Rot-Weiß Essen
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Saarbrücken 0 1.1% 2.1% 2.0% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
1 3.0% 5.5% 5.1% 3.2% 1.5% 0.6%
2 3.9% 7.2% 6.7% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
3 3.4% 6.3% 5.9% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6%
4 2.2% 4.1% 3.8% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
5 1.2% 2.2% 2.0% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.5% · Draw 18.4% · Away win 26.0%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1