3. Liga — Germany
Fri, Nov 28 2025 • 18:00 • BRITA-Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.70 (league 1.60) 0.84 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.0% 23.9% 18.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.5%
2 - 0
11.4%
1 - 1
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Erzgebirge Aue
0 1 2 3 4 5
SV Wehen 0 8.0% 6.7% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.5% 11.3% 4.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.4% 9.6% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.5% 5.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSV WehenErzgebirge Aue
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack21%43%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SV Wehen Erzgebirge Aue
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins43%25%33%38%14%27%
Draws14%38%27%38%29%33%
Loses43%38%40%25%57%40%

Form: SV Wehen: WDLWLWDDDWLLWLL • Erzgebirge Aue: DLWLLLLWWDLDWDD

League goals

Metric SV Wehen Erzgebirge Aue
HATHAT
GF total1161710616
GF avg1.60.81.11.30.91.1
GA total9918111223
GA avg1.31.11.21.41.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSV WehenErzgebirge Aue
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%60%67%73%
1.533%33%27%47%
2.513%20%7%27%
3.50%7%7%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSV WehenErzgebirge Aue
HATHAT
Clean sheets246314
Failed to score145415

Penalties

MetricSV WehenErzgebirge Aue
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSV WehenErzgebirge Aue
Wins12
Draws31
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-22-00-1
Biggest losses3-43-00-34-1
Goals For3241
Goals Against4334

Model comparison

MetricSV WehenErzgebirge Aue
Form33%67%
Att33%67%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h40%60%
Goals53%47%
Total46.2%53.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Erzgebirge Aue

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.12 @ SBO
Draw3.60 @ Pinnacle
Away3.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.12 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ 188Bet
No2.31 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SV Wehen = 1.70 (league 1.60), Erzgebirge Aue = 0.84 (league 1.40)

Erzgebirge Aue
0 1 2 3 4 5
SV Wehen 0 8.0% 6.7% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.5% 11.3% 4.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.4% 9.6% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.5% 5.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.0% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 18.3%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1