3. Liga — Germany
Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 13:00 • Erzgebirgsstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.16 (league 1.62) 0.80 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.4% 18.8% 12.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.1%
1 - 0
11.2%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
FC Schweinfurt 05
0 1 2 3 4 5
Erzgebirge Aue 0 5.2% 4.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.2% 8.9% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.1% 9.7% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.8% 7.0% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.7% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricErzgebirge AueFC Schweinfurt 05
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack25%44%
Defense63%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Erzgebirge Aue FC Schweinfurt 05
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins33%11%22%11%11%11%
Draws44%33%39%0%0%0%
Loses22%56%39%89%89%89%

Form: Erzgebirge Aue: DLWLLLLWWDLDWDDLDD • FC Schweinfurt 05: LLLLWLLLLLLLLWLLLL

League goals

Metric Erzgebirge Aue FC Schweinfurt 05
HATHAT
GF total127199716
GF avg1.30.81.11.00.80.9
GA total131528222446
GA avg1.41.71.62.42.72.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineErzgebirge AueFC Schweinfurt 05
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%72%61%100%
1.528%50%22%89%
2.56%28%6%44%
3.56%6%0%11%
4.50%0%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricErzgebirge AueFC Schweinfurt 05
HATHAT
Clean sheets325000
Failed to score426347

Penalties

MetricErzgebirge AueFC Schweinfurt 05
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricErzgebirge AueFC Schweinfurt 05
Wins21
Draws20
Losses48

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-12-12-3
Biggest losses0-34-11-55-1
Goals For4123
Goals Against3455

Model comparison

MetricErzgebirge AueFC Schweinfurt 05
Form57%43%
Att36%64%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total58.5%41.5%

Advice: Double chance : Erzgebirge Aue or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ 10Bet
Draw3.97 @ Pinnacle
Away4.57 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ 888Sport
No2.26 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Erzgebirge Aue = 2.16 (league 1.62), FC Schweinfurt 05 = 0.80 (league 1.41)

FC Schweinfurt 05
0 1 2 3 4 5
Erzgebirge Aue 0 5.2% 4.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.2% 8.9% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.1% 9.7% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.8% 7.0% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.7% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.4% · Draw 18.8% · Away win 12.5%

Vtot 11 , Vtod1