Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 18:30 • Sportpark Hohenberg
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.47 (league 1.62) 1.69 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.1% 23.4% 42.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
1 - 2
8.9%
2 - 1
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
MSV Duisburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Viktoria Köln 0 4.2% 7.2% 6.1% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5%
1 6.2% 10.5% 8.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.6% 7.7% 6.5% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5%
3 2.2% 3.8% 3.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.8% 1.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC Viktoria KölnMSV Duisburg
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack44%50%
Defense44%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Viktoria Köln MSV Duisburg
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins56%33%44%67%33%50%
Draws11%11%11%33%33%33%
Loses33%56%44%0%33%17%

Form: FC Viktoria Köln: WLLWWWLDDWLLWWLLLW • MSV Duisburg: WWWWWWDWDDLDDWLWLD

League goals

Metric FC Viktoria Köln MSV Duisburg
HATHAT
GF total151328171532
GF avg1.71.41.61.91.71.8
GA total13122591322
GA avg1.41.31.41.01.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC Viktoria KölnMSV Duisburg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%67%83%72%
1.550%39%61%28%
2.522%17%28%17%
3.56%11%6%6%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC Viktoria KölnMSV Duisburg
HATHAT
Clean sheets336145
Failed to score224123

Penalties

MetricFC Viktoria KölnMSV Duisburg
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total50

Streaks

MetricFC Viktoria KölnMSV Duisburg
Wins36
Draws22
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-33-10-4
Biggest losses1-52-04-1
Goals For4334
Goals Against5324

Model comparison

MetricFC Viktoria KölnMSV Duisburg
Form46%54%
Att47%53%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h38%62%
Goals45%55%
Total45.5%54.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or MSV Duisburg

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ Unibet
Draw3.50 @ Pinnacle
Away2.70 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.05 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.29 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Viktoria Köln = 1.47 (league 1.62), MSV Duisburg = 1.69 (league 1.41)

MSV Duisburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Viktoria Köln 0 4.2% 7.2% 6.1% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5%
1 6.2% 10.5% 8.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.6% 7.7% 6.5% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5%
3 2.2% 3.8% 3.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.8% 1.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.1% · Draw 23.4% · Away win 42.3%

Vtot 14 , Vtod1