3. Liga — Germany
Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 12:30 • Donaustadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.61) 2.58 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.1% 16.4% 65.7%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.3%
0 - 2
8.9%
1 - 3
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
MSV Duisburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
SSV Ulm 1846 0 2.7% 6.9% 8.9% 7.6% 4.9% 2.6%
1 2.8% 7.2% 9.3% 8.0% 5.2% 2.7%
2 1.4% 3.7% 4.8% 4.2% 2.7% 1.4%
3 0.5% 1.3% 1.7% 1.5% 0.9% 0.5%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSSV Ulm 1846MSV Duisburg
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack69%62%
Defense31%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SSV Ulm 1846 MSV Duisburg
HATHAT
Played101121101121
Wins30%27%29%70%36%52%
Draws0%9%5%30%36%33%
Loses70%64%67%0%27%14%

Form: SSV Ulm 1846: LWLLWLWDWLLLLLLLWLLLW • MSV Duisburg: WWWWWWDWDDLDDWLWLDDWW

League goals

Metric SSV Ulm 1846 MSV Duisburg
HATHAT
GF total141529191938
GF avg1.41.41.41.91.71.8
GA total21244591322
GA avg2.12.22.10.91.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSSV Ulm 1846MSV Duisburg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%86%81%62%
1.529%57%62%24%
2.519%38%29%14%
3.55%19%10%5%
4.55%14%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSSV Ulm 1846MSV Duisburg
HATHAT
Clean sheets123268
Failed to score314134

Penalties

MetricSSV Ulm 1846MSV Duisburg
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSSV Ulm 1846MSV Duisburg
Wins16
Draws12
Losses71

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-33-10-4
Biggest losses0-55-0—4-1
Goals For5334
Goals Against5524

Model comparison

MetricSSV Ulm 1846MSV Duisburg
Form43%57%
Att53%47%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h29%71%
Goals44%56%
Total37.2%62.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or MSV Duisburg

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.50 @ Unibet
Draw3.50 @ 188Bet
Away2.22 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ SBO
Under 2.51.94 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ 1xBet
No2.19 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SSV Ulm 1846 = 1.04 (league 1.61), MSV Duisburg = 2.58 (league 1.38)

MSV Duisburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
SSV Ulm 1846 0 2.7% 6.9% 8.9% 7.6% 4.9% 2.6%
1 2.8% 7.2% 9.3% 8.0% 5.2% 2.7%
2 1.4% 3.7% 4.8% 4.2% 2.7% 1.4%
3 0.5% 1.3% 1.7% 1.5% 0.9% 0.5%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.1% · Draw 16.4% · Away win 65.7%

vtt 5 , vtd1