Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 13:00 • Erzgebirgsstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.61) 1.09 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.1% 25.1% 26.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
10.9%
2 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
FC Saarbrücken
0 1 2 3 4 5
Erzgebirge Aue 0 6.9% 7.5% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.9% 11.9% 6.5% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.6% 9.4% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.5% 5.0% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricErzgebirge AueFC Saarbrücken
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack55%36%
Defense27%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Erzgebirge Aue FC Saarbrücken
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins36%9%23%36%9%23%
Draws36%27%32%36%36%36%
Loses27%64%45%27%55%41%

Form: Erzgebirge Aue: DLWLLLLWWDLDWDDLDDWLLL • FC Saarbrücken: DWLWWWWDDDLLLDLLLDDDLL

League goals

Metric Erzgebirge Aue FC Saarbrücken
HATHAT
GF total16925191130
GF avg1.50.81.11.71.01.4
GA total162036161935
GA avg1.51.81.61.51.71.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineErzgebirge AueFC Saarbrücken
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%73%73%95%
1.527%55%41%45%
2.59%32%18%14%
3.59%5%5%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricErzgebirge AueFC Saarbrücken
HATHAT
Clean sheets426101
Failed to score527246

Penalties

MetricErzgebirge AueFC Saarbrücken
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricErzgebirge AueFC Saarbrücken
Wins24
Draws23
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-14-11-3
Biggest losses0-34-12-42-0
Goals For4143
Goals Against3443

Model comparison

MetricErzgebirge AueFC Saarbrücken
Form57%43%
Att60%40%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h29%71%
Goals31%69%
Total47.3%52.7%

Advice: Double chance : Erzgebirge Aue or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.05 @ Unibet
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away2.32 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ 188Bet
No2.37 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Erzgebirge Aue = 1.58 (league 1.61), FC Saarbrücken = 1.09 (league 1.37)

FC Saarbrücken
0 1 2 3 4 5
Erzgebirge Aue 0 6.9% 7.5% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.9% 11.9% 6.5% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.6% 9.4% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.5% 5.0% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.1% · Draw 25.1% · Away win 26.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1