Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 13:00 • Erzgebirgsstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.62) 1.94 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.9% 21.9% 56.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.3%
1 - 2
9.9%
0 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
VfL Osnabrück
0 1 2 3 4 5
Erzgebirge Aue 0 5.1% 9.8% 9.5% 6.2% 3.0% 1.2%
1 5.3% 10.3% 9.9% 6.4% 3.1% 1.2%
2 2.8% 5.4% 5.2% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6%
3 1.0% 1.9% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricErzgebirge AueVfL Osnabrück
Played55
Form13%73%
Attack31%69%
Defense23%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Erzgebirge Aue VfL Osnabrück
HATHAT
Played131225131225
Wins31%8%20%46%58%52%
Draws38%33%36%31%25%28%
Loses31%58%44%23%17%20%

Form: Erzgebirge Aue: DLWLLLLWWDLDWDDLDDWLLLDDL • VfL Osnabrück: DLWWDDWDWWLWDWWLLWLWDWWDW

League goals

Metric Erzgebirge Aue VfL Osnabrück
HATHAT
GF total171128152338
GF avg1.30.91.11.21.91.5
GA total18224091524
GA avg1.41.81.60.71.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineErzgebirge AueVfL Osnabrück
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%72%76%48%
1.528%56%44%24%
2.58%28%20%16%
3.58%4%8%8%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricErzgebirge AueVfL Osnabrück
HATHAT
Clean sheets5278513
Failed to score628516

Penalties

MetricErzgebirge AueVfL Osnabrück
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricErzgebirge AueVfL Osnabrück
Wins22
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-13-01-4
Biggest losses0-34-10-44-1
Goals For4235
Goals Against3444

Model comparison

MetricErzgebirge AueVfL Osnabrück
Form15%85%
Att31%69%
Def23%77%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h38%62%
Goals42%58%
Total30.7%69.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or VfL Osnabrück

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.15 @ Unibet
Draw3.45 @ Unibet
Away2.29 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ SBO
Under 2.51.97 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.13 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Erzgebirge Aue = 1.04 (league 1.62), VfL Osnabrück = 1.94 (league 1.37)

VfL Osnabrück
0 1 2 3 4 5
Erzgebirge Aue 0 5.1% 9.8% 9.5% 6.2% 3.0% 1.2%
1 5.3% 10.3% 9.9% 6.4% 3.1% 1.2%
2 2.8% 5.4% 5.2% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6%
3 1.0% 1.9% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.9% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 56.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1