Expected Goals
2.07 (league 1.65) 0.92 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.9% 20.3% 15.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.7%
1 - 0
10.4%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Erzgebirge Aue
0 1 2 3 4 5
TSV 1860 München 0 5.0% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 10.4% 9.6% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.7% 9.9% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.4% 6.8% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTSV 1860 MünchenErzgebirge Aue
Played55
Form67%13%
Attack92%42%
Defense58%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric TSV 1860 München Erzgebirge Aue
HATHAT
Played131326141226
Wins54%38%46%29%8%19%
Draws31%15%23%36%33%35%
Loses15%46%31%36%58%46%

Form: TSV 1860 München: DWWDWLLLDLWLWLWWWWLDDDLWWW • Erzgebirge Aue: DLWLLLLWWDLDWDDLDDWLLLDDLL

League goals

Metric TSV 1860 München Erzgebirge Aue
HATHAT
GF total251742181129
GF avg1.91.31.61.30.91.1
GA total181836212243
GA avg1.41.41.41.51.81.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTSV 1860 MünchenErzgebirge Aue
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%77%69%73%
1.546%38%27%58%
2.523%12%8%31%
3.54%8%8%4%
4.54%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTSV 1860 MünchenErzgebirge Aue
HATHAT
Clean sheets336527
Failed to score134628

Penalties

MetricTSV 1860 MünchenErzgebirge Aue
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricTSV 1860 MünchenErzgebirge Aue
Wins42
Draws32
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-54-00-1
Biggest losses1-54-00-34-1
Goals For3542
Goals Against5434

Model comparison

MetricTSV 1860 MünchenErzgebirge Aue
Form83%17%
Att69%31%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h15%85%
Goals27%73%
Total55.2%44.8%

Advice: Winner : TSV 1860 München

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.86 @ 188Bet
Draw3.75 @ Pinnacle
Away4.16 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.17 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ 188Bet
No2.25 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): TSV 1860 München = 2.07 (league 1.65), Erzgebirge Aue = 0.92 (league 1.36)

Erzgebirge Aue
0 1 2 3 4 5
TSV 1860 München 0 5.0% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 10.4% 9.6% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.7% 9.9% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.4% 6.8% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.9% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 15.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1