Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 18:30 •
Audi Sportpark
Expected Goals
1.79 (league 1.62)
1.89 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 36.0% | 21.6% | 40.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
8.5%
1 - 2
8.1%
2 - 1
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Verl | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | 0 | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 4.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | FC Ingolstadt 04 | Verl |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Attack | 67% | 83% |
| Defense | 58% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | FC Ingolstadt 04 | Verl | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 14 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 26 |
| Wins | 42% | 29% | 35% | 58% | 36% | 46% |
| Draws | 33% | 36% | 35% | 33% | 36% | 35% |
| Loses | 25% | 36% | 31% | 8% | 29% | 19% |
Form: FC Ingolstadt 04: DLDDLWDLDWWWLLLWDLDWWWDDWL • Verl: DDDLWWWLDWWWDDWWDDWWLWLWLD
League goals
| Metric | FC Ingolstadt 04 | Verl | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 25 | 45 | 32 | 28 | 60 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 16 | 20 | 36 | 14 | 24 | 38 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | FC Ingolstadt 04 | Verl | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 81% | 88% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 46% | 50% | 73% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 8% | 31% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 27% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 12% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | FC Ingolstadt 04 | Verl | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | FC Ingolstadt 04 | Verl |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | FC Ingolstadt 04 | Verl |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 2-6 | 5-0 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 3-1 | 2-3 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | FC Ingolstadt 04 | Verl |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 52.2% | 47.8% |
Advice: Double chance : FC Ingolstadt 04 or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): FC Ingolstadt 04 = 1.79 (league 1.62), Verl = 1.89 (league 1.37)
| Verl | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | 0 | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 4.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.0% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 40.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1