Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 13:00 •
Carl-Benz Stadion
Expected Goals
2.29 (league 1.66)
1.16 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 59.9% | 19.1% | 17.9% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 1
8.4%
2 - 0
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Erzgebirge Aue | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Waldhof Mannheim | 0 | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.4% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Waldhof Mannheim | Erzgebirge Aue |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 0% |
| Attack | 70% | 60% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Waldhof Mannheim | Erzgebirge Aue | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 57% | 33% | 45% | 27% | 7% | 17% |
| Draws | 14% | 7% | 10% | 33% | 29% | 31% |
| Loses | 29% | 60% | 45% | 40% | 64% | 52% |
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Erzgebirge AueDLWLLLLWWDLDWDDLDDWLLLDDLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Waldhof Mannheim | Erzgebirge Aue | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 21 | 47 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 22 | 31 | 53 | 24 | 28 | 52 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Waldhof Mannheim | Erzgebirge Aue | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 90% | 72% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 55% | 48% | 28% | 62% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 28% | 7% | 34% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 14% | 7% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Waldhof Mannheim | Erzgebirge Aue | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Waldhof Mannheim | Erzgebirge Aue |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Waldhof Mannheim | Erzgebirge Aue |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-1 | 1-3 | 4-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 5-2 | 0-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Waldhof Mannheim | Erzgebirge Aue |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 82% | 18% |
| Total | 68.2% | 31.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.16 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.79 @ Pinnacle
Away3.10 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.63 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.33 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.55 @ William Hill
No2.47 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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