Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 17:00 • Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.49) 0.78 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.8% 28.3% 21.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.2%
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Fatih Karagümrük
0 1 2 3 4 5
Samsunspor 0 12.1% 9.4% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.2% 12.5% 4.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.8% 8.4% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.8% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSamsunsporFatih Karagümrük
Played55
Form53%20%
Attack56%22%
Defense56%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Samsunspor Fatih Karagümrük
HATHAT
Played325325
Wins33%50%40%0%50%20%
Draws33%50%40%0%0%0%
Loses33%0%20%100%50%80%

Form: Samsunspor: WWDLD • Fatih Karagümrük: LLWLL

League goals

Metric Samsunspor Fatih Karagümrük
HATHAT
GF total325022
GF avg1.01.01.00.01.00.4
GA total314549
GA avg1.00.50.81.72.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSamsunsporFatih Karagümrük
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%20%100%
1.520%20%20%60%
2.50%0%0%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSamsunsporFatih Karagümrük
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score101314

Penalties

MetricSamsunsporFatih Karagümrük
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSamsunsporFatih Karagümrük
Wins21
Draws10
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-11-2
Biggest losses1-20-23-0
Goals For2102
Goals Against2123

Model comparison

MetricSamsunsporFatih Karagümrük
Form73%27%
Att71%29%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h40%60%
Goals50%50%
Total61.7%38.3%

Advice: Double chance : Samsunspor or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.00 @ 188Bet
Away5.30 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ SBO
Under 2.51.92 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ 188Bet
No1.99 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Samsunspor = 1.34 (league 1.49), Fatih Karagümrük = 0.78 (league 1.29)

Fatih Karagümrük
0 1 2 3 4 5
Samsunspor 0 12.1% 9.4% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.2% 12.5% 4.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.8% 8.4% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.8% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.8% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 21.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1