Süper Lig — Turkey
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 17:00 • Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.44) 0.30 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.8% 31.7% 9.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
27.0%
0 - 0
23.0%
2 - 0
15.8%
Score & goals probability table
Istanbul Basaksehir
0 1 2 3 4 5
Goztepe 0 23.0% 6.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.0% 8.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.8% 4.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.2% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGoztepeIstanbul Basaksehir
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack39%28%
Defense89%72%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Goztepe Istanbul Basaksehir
HATHAT
Played347336
Wins33%50%43%0%33%17%
Draws67%50%57%100%0%50%
Loses0%0%0%0%67%33%

Form: Goztepe: WDWDDWD • Istanbul Basaksehir: DDLWDL

League goals

Metric Goztepe Istanbul Basaksehir
HATHAT
GF total4610246
GF avg1.31.51.40.71.31.0
GA total112246
GA avg0.30.30.30.71.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGoztepeIstanbul Basaksehir
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%29%83%67%
1.543%0%17%33%
2.529%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGoztepeIstanbul Basaksehir
HATHAT
Clean sheets235112
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricGoztepeIstanbul Basaksehir
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGoztepeIstanbul Basaksehir
Wins11
Draws22
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-3—0-2
Biggest losses———2-1
Goals For3312
Goals Against1112

Model comparison

MetricGoztepeIstanbul Basaksehir
Form64%36%
Att58%42%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h50%50%
Goals47%53%
Total61.7%38.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Goztepe or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.92 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ Unibet
Away4.42 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.09 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.88 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Goztepe = 1.17 (league 1.44), Istanbul Basaksehir = 0.30 (league 1.31)

Istanbul Basaksehir
0 1 2 3 4 5
Goztepe 0 23.0% 6.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.0% 8.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.8% 4.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.2% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.8% · Draw 31.7% · Away win 9.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1