Süper Lig — Turkey
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 17:00 • Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.48) 1.32 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.0% 28.7% 51.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.4%
0 - 0
13.2%
1 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Fenerbahce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Samsunspor 0 13.2% 17.4% 11.5% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4%
1 9.3% 12.3% 8.1% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 3.3% 4.4% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSamsunsporFenerbahce
Played55
Form40%73%
Attack54%69%
Defense46%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Samsunspor Fenerbahce
HATHAT
Played437437
Wins50%33%43%75%33%57%
Draws25%67%43%25%67%43%
Loses25%0%14%0%0%0%

Form: Samsunspor: WWDLDWD • Fenerbahce: DWWWDDW

League goals

Metric Samsunspor Fenerbahce
HATHAT
GF total64108412
GF avg1.51.31.42.01.31.7
GA total538325
GA avg1.31.01.10.80.70.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSamsunsporFenerbahce
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%71%86%57%
1.543%43%57%14%
2.514%0%29%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSamsunsporFenerbahce
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricSamsunsporFenerbahce
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSamsunsporFenerbahce
Wins23
Draws12
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-13-11-3
Biggest losses1-2———
Goals For3233
Goals Against2221

Model comparison

MetricSamsunsporFenerbahce
Form35%65%
Att44%56%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h25%75%
Goals27%73%
Total34.0%66.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Fenerbahce

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.50 @ 10Bet
Draw4.10 @ Unibet
Away1.70 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.07 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ 188Bet
No2.08 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Samsunspor = 0.71 (league 1.48), Fenerbahce = 1.32 (league 1.28)

Fenerbahce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Samsunspor 0 13.2% 17.4% 11.5% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4%
1 9.3% 12.3% 8.1% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 3.3% 4.4% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.0% · Draw 28.7% · Away win 51.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1