Süper Lig — Turkey
Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 11:30 • Kadir Has Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.35 (league 1.44) 2.48 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.6% 12.2% 80.1%
best score tips
0 - 2
18.2%
0 - 3
15.1%
0 - 1
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
Samsunspor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kayserispor 0 5.9% 14.7% 18.2% 15.1% 9.3% 4.6%
1 2.0% 5.1% 6.3% 5.2% 3.2% 1.6%
2 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKayserisporSamsunspor
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack21%43%
Defense21%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kayserispor Samsunspor
HATHAT
Played448538
Wins0%0%0%40%33%38%
Draws50%75%63%40%67%50%
Loses50%25%38%20%0%13%

Form: Kayserispor: DLDDDLDL • Samsunspor: WWDLDWDD

League goals

Metric Kayserispor Samsunspor
HATHAT
GF total2356410
GF avg0.50.80.61.21.31.3
GA total10717538
GA avg2.51.82.11.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKayserisporSamsunspor
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%100%75%63%
1.50%38%38%38%
2.50%38%13%0%
3.50%38%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKayserisporSamsunspor
HATHAT
Clean sheets000213
Failed to score213202

Penalties

MetricKayserisporSamsunspor
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricKayserisporSamsunspor
Wins02
Draws31
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——3-20-1
Biggest losses0-44-01-2—
Goals For1132
Goals Against4422

Model comparison

MetricKayserisporSamsunspor
Form33%67%
Att33%67%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution13%87%
H2h20%80%
Goals30%70%
Total27.3%72.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Samsunspor

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.10 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away2.37 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.04 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Unibet
No2.26 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kayserispor = 0.35 (league 1.44), Samsunspor = 2.48 (league 1.31)

Samsunspor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kayserispor 0 5.9% 14.7% 18.2% 15.1% 9.3% 4.6%
1 2.0% 5.1% 6.3% 5.2% 3.2% 1.6%
2 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.6% · Draw 12.2% · Away win 80.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1