Süper Lig — Turkey
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 17:00 • Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.55 (league 1.46) 1.30 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.6% 29.1% 55.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
20.5%
0 - 0
15.8%
0 - 2
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Goztepe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kasimpasa 0 15.8% 20.5% 13.3% 5.8% 1.9% 0.5%
1 8.6% 11.2% 7.3% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
2 2.4% 3.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKasimpasaGoztepe
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack60%30%
Defense20%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kasimpasa Goztepe
HATHAT
Played56115611
Wins0%33%18%60%33%45%
Draws60%17%36%40%33%36%
Loses40%50%45%0%33%18%

Form: Kasimpasa: LLLWDDWDLDL • Goztepe: WDWDDWDWLLW

League goals

Metric Kasimpasa Goztepe
HATHAT
GF total56116713
GF avg1.01.01.01.21.21.2
GA total7815156
GA avg1.41.31.40.20.80.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKasimpasaGoztepe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%82%73%36%
1.527%36%27%9%
2.50%18%18%9%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKasimpasaGoztepe
HATHAT
Clean sheets022437
Failed to score123123

Penalties

MetricKasimpasaGoztepe
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricKasimpasaGoztepe
Wins11
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-23-00-3
Biggest losses2-32-0—3-1
Goals For2233
Goals Against3313

Model comparison

MetricKasimpasaGoztepe
Form42%58%
Att67%33%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h20%80%
Goals24%76%
Total36.7%63.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Goztepe

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.61 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.41 @ 1xBet
Away2.25 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.85 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ 188Bet
No2.00 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kasimpasa = 0.55 (league 1.46), Goztepe = 1.30 (league 1.29)

Goztepe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kasimpasa 0 15.8% 20.5% 13.3% 5.8% 1.9% 0.5%
1 8.6% 11.2% 7.3% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
2 2.4% 3.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.6% · Draw 29.1% · Away win 55.0%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1