Süper Lig — Turkey
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 17:00 • Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.55 (league 1.46) 1.51 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.3% 25.8% 60.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.3%
0 - 2
14.6%
0 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
BaÅŸakÅŸehir
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kasımpaşa 0 12.8% 19.3% 14.6% 7.3% 2.8% 0.8%
1 7.0% 10.6% 8.0% 4.0% 1.5% 0.5%
2 1.9% 2.9% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKasımpaşaBaşakşehir
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack29%53%
Defense47%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kasımpaşa Başakşehir
HATHAT
Played67136713
Wins0%43%23%17%29%23%
Draws50%14%31%50%14%31%
Loses50%43%46%33%57%46%

Form: Kasımpaşa: LLLWDDWDLDLLW • Başakşehir: DDLWDLLLDWWLL

League goals

Metric Kasımpaşa Başakşehir
HATHAT
GF total58137916
GF avg0.81.11.01.21.31.2
GA total99188715
GA avg1.51.31.41.31.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKasımpaşaBaşakşehir
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%85%77%62%
1.531%38%23%38%
2.50%15%15%8%
3.50%0%8%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKasımpaşaBaşakşehir
HATHAT
Clean sheets022235
Failed to score224123

Penalties

MetricKasımpaşaBaşakşehir
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricKasımpaşaBaşakşehir
Wins12
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-21-00-4
Biggest losses0-22-03-42-1
Goals For2234
Goals Against3342

Model comparison

MetricKasımpaşaBaşakşehir
Form36%64%
Att36%64%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h7%93%
Goals29%71%
Total29.8%70.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or BaÅŸakÅŸehir

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.50 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.51 @ 1xBet
Away2.22 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.08 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ 188Bet
No2.30 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kasımpaşa = 0.55 (league 1.46), Başakşehir = 1.51 (league 1.29)

BaÅŸakÅŸehir
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kasımpaşa 0 12.8% 19.3% 14.6% 7.3% 2.8% 0.8%
1 7.0% 10.6% 8.0% 4.0% 1.5% 0.5%
2 1.9% 2.9% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.3% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 60.5%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1