Sat, Dec 6 2025 • 17:00 • Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.44) 2.28 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.7% 17.4% 69.1%
best score tips
0 - 2
12.6%
0 - 1
11.0%
0 - 3
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Fenerbahçe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Başakşehir 0 4.8% 11.0% 12.6% 9.5% 5.4% 2.5%
1 3.6% 8.3% 9.4% 7.2% 4.1% 1.9%
2 1.4% 3.1% 3.5% 2.7% 1.5% 0.7%
3 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBaşakşehirFenerbahçe
Played55
Form60%87%
Attack92%100%
Defense46%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.417 | 3.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Başakşehir Fenerbahçe
HATHAT
Played68147714
Wins17%38%29%71%57%64%
Draws50%13%29%29%43%36%
Loses33%50%43%0%0%0%

Form: Başakşehir: DDLWDLLLDWWLLW • Fenerbahçe: DWWWDDWDWWWWWD

League goals

Metric Başakşehir Fenerbahçe
HATHAT
GF total71219151631
GF avg1.21.51.42.12.32.2
GA total88167613
GA avg1.31.01.11.00.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBaşakşehirFenerbahçe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%64%86%64%
1.529%36%64%29%
2.521%7%43%0%
3.57%7%21%0%
4.50%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBaşakşehirFenerbahçe
HATHAT
Clean sheets235235
Failed to score123022

Penalties

MetricBaşakşehirFenerbahçe
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricBaşakşehirFenerbahçe
Wins25
Draws22
Losses30

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-44-20-4
Biggest losses3-42-1
Goals For3445
Goals Against4222

Model comparison

MetricBaşakşehirFenerbahçe
Form41%59%
Att41%59%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h0%100%
Goals13%88%
Total34.2%66.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Fenerbahçe and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.00 @ Bet365
Draw4.13 @ Pinnacle
Away1.72 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.77 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Başakşehir = 0.75 (league 1.44), Fenerbahçe = 2.28 (league 1.31)

Fenerbahçe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Başakşehir 0 4.8% 11.0% 12.6% 9.5% 5.4% 2.5%
1 3.6% 8.3% 9.4% 7.2% 4.1% 1.9%
2 1.4% 3.1% 3.5% 2.7% 1.5% 0.7%
3 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.7% · Draw 17.4% · Away win 69.1%

Vtot 3 , Vtod3