Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 14:00 • Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.46) 1.03 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.3% 30.2% 34.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.5%
1 - 0
13.1%
0 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Kocaelispor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fatih Karagümrük 0 12.6% 12.9% 6.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.1% 13.5% 7.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.9% 7.1% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFatih KaragümrükKocaelispor
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack33%22%
Defense22%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.41 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fatih Karagümrük Kocaelispor
HATHAT
Played87158715
Wins13%14%13%50%14%33%
Draws13%14%13%38%14%27%
Loses75%71%73%13%71%40%

Form: Fatih Karagümrük: LLWLLLLLLDLWDLL • Kocaelispor: LLLDLDLWWWLWDWD

League goals

Metric Fatih Karagümrük Kocaelispor
HATHAT
GF total76137512
GF avg0.90.90.90.90.70.8
GA total15142931215
GA avg1.92.01.90.41.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFatih KaragümrükKocaelispor
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.547%93%60%60%
1.533%67%13%27%
2.57%27%7%13%
3.50%7%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFatih KaragümrükKocaelispor
HATHAT
Clean sheets101516
Failed to score538246

Penalties

MetricFatih KaragümrükKocaelispor
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricFatih KaragümrükKocaelispor
Wins13
Draws11
Losses63

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-22-02-3
Biggest losses0-23-00-13-1
Goals For3223
Goals Against4313

Model comparison

MetricFatih KaragümrükKocaelispor
Form33%67%
Att60%40%
Def13%88%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total43.3%56.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Kocaelispor and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.60 @ Unibet
Draw3.25 @ Unibet
Away2.28 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.69 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ Pinnacle
No1.84 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fatih Karagümrük = 1.05 (league 1.46), Kocaelispor = 1.03 (league 1.29)

Kocaelispor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fatih Karagümrük 0 12.6% 12.9% 6.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.1% 13.5% 7.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.9% 7.1% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.3% · Draw 30.2% · Away win 34.4%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1